Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders v West Virginia Mountaineers

2026-11-07 20:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 84.53%1.18fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -3.97%
Kelly -34.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.70%84.53%84.69%85.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.121.1393.46%89.99%89.29%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 15.47%6.46fair odd
EV +3.68%
Edge +0.549%
Kelly +0.646%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 6.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.13%15.47%15.31%19.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.795.806.7021.74%17.26%17.24%14.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 84.53%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 15.47%. For West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.46. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.70, producing a positive expected value of +3.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.33%E -4.76%K -44.43%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +3.68%E +0.549%K +0.646%G +0.024%4.2%2026-11-01 12:10
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -9.56%E -8.93%K -136.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +0.586%E +0.090%K +0.107%G +0.001%8.8%2026-11-01 12:08
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.49%E -3.97%K -34.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -3.28%E -0.525%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-01 12:49
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.02%E -6.38%K -70.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.15%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.49%E -3.97%K -34.51%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -13.34%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 12:10
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.33%E -4.76%K -44.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.89%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 12:09
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -5.33%E -4.76%K -44.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -19.53%E -3.76%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:09
picklebet_au🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.70%EV -7.02%E -6.38%K -70.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -28.82%E -6.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-01 12:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%3.0%2026-11-01 09:10
Polymarket◎1.10I 90.91%NM 82.70%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.30%9.9%2026-11-01 10:35
ProphetX◎1.00I 100.00%NM 83.33%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.67%20.0%2026-11-01 10:25
Novig◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-11-01 13:00