Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders v Houston Cougars

2026-09-20 00:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

81%

19%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 80.65%1.24fair odd

EV -4.83%

Edge -4.09%

Kelly -26.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

79.14%80.51%80.65%81.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.161.171.171.1886.21%85.47%85.47%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 19.35%5.17fair odd

EV +1.57%

Edge +0.298%

Kelly +0.368%

Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.22%19.49%19.35%20.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.404.844.825.2522.73%20.67%20.73%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 80.65%; Houston Cougars (Visit): 19.35%. For Houston Cougars (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.17. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.25, producing a positive expected value of +1.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.63%E -4.82%K -33.15%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +1.57%E +0.298%K +0.368%G +0.006%	4.5%	2026-07-31 15:04
DraftKings🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.82%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -1.34%E -0.262%K -0.326%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-11 15:59
Betway🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.82%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.27%E -0.654%K -0.818%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-09 14:16
Betr (AU)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.63%E -4.82%K -33.15%G +0.000%	4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.17%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-21 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.63%E -4.82%K -33.15%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.14%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-03 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.63%E -4.82%K -33.15%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.14%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-26 21:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.26%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.94%E -2.88%K -3.70%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-03 23:56
LeoVegas🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.26%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -14.88%E -3.38%K -4.38%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-07-26 21:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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