Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders v Houston Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

80%

20%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 80.12%1.25fair odd

EV -3.05%

Edge -2.52%

Kelly -14.53%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

79.14%80.12%80.40%81.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.161.171.171.2186.21%85.11%85.47%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 19.88%5.03fair odd

EV +4.36%

Edge +0.830%

Kelly +1.03%

Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.22%19.88%19.60%20.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.404.784.805.2522.73%20.94%20.83%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 80.12%; Houston Cougars (Visit): 19.88%. For Houston Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.26%E -5.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +4.36%E +0.830%K +1.03%G +0.045%	4.5%	2026-07-31 15:04
Betway🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.46%E -4.62%K -30.31%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.612%E -0.122%K -0.153%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-09 14:16
DraftKings🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.65%E -3.91%K -24.50%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.60%E -0.531%K -0.667%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-13 03:49
Betr (AU)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.26%E -5.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%	4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -3.59%E -0.741%K -0.933%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-21 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.26%E -5.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-03 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.26%E -5.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-26 21:54
FanDuel🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -3.05%E -2.52%K -14.53%G +0.000%	4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -7.57%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-13 05:24
SportsBet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.26%E -5.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-13 05:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.06%E -6.08%K -44.11%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-03 23:56
LeoVegas🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -7.06%E -6.08%K -44.11%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-07-26 21:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.