Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders v Houston Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 00:00 UTC

Final: Texas Tech Red Raiders 28–26 Houston Cougars

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 72.73%1.37fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.786%
Kelly +2.80%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.60%72.43%72.61%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.311.3980.00%76.29%76.34%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 27.27%3.67fair odd
EV +9.09%
Edge +2.27%
Kelly +3.03%
Growth +0.275%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%27.57%27.39%32.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.473.454.0034.48%28.81%28.99%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 72.73%; Houston Cougars (Visit): 27.27%. For Houston Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -9.09%E -7.27%K -36.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +9.09%E +2.27%K +3.03%G +0.275%5.0%2026-09-13 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.82%E -0.506%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.82%E -0.506%K -0.701%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-17 13:39
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.82%E -0.506%K -0.701%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 14:20
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.82%E -0.506%K -0.701%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 15:09
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.82%E -0.506%K -0.701%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 15:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.82%E -0.506%K -0.701%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.82%E -0.506%K -0.701%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 11:15
Everygame🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.82%E -0.506%K -0.701%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-17 13:35
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.45%E -4.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.82%E -0.506%K -0.701%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 03:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.18%E -4.79%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.82%E -0.506%K -0.701%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 13:35
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.19%E -0.897%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 19:59
ReBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.19%E -0.897%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 12:20
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.19%E -0.897%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 14:24
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.45%E -4.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.19%E -0.897%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 15:29
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.27%E -2.46%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 13:44
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 13:30
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 12:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.45%E -4.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 12:20
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.45%E -4.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-17 22:54
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.45%E -4.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 14:24
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:19
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:19
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 11:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.45%E -4.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:19
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.91%E -5.40%K -24.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 13:39
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.18%E -4.79%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -6.46%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 11:20
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.27%E -2.46%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 15:19
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 03:09
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.45%E -4.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 12:20
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.45%E -4.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.45%E -4.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 15:19
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.45%E -4.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.27%E -2.46%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 22:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.27%E -2.46%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 14:05
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 12:20
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.18%E -4.79%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 12:29
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.18%E -4.79%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV +1.09%E +0.786%K +2.80%G +0.031%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -20.91%E -7.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 14:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33%0.7%2026-09-18 12:05
ProphetX◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-09-17 13:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-09-18 15:10
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-09-18 15:10