The School of Odds

Texas Tech Red Raiders v Houston Cougars

2026-09-18 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 80.25%1.25fair odd
EV -5.30%
Edge -4.49%
Kelly -29.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.51%80.23%80.25%80.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.161.171.171.1886.21%85.47%85.47%84.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Houston Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 19.75%5.06fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.252%
Kelly -0.315%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%19.77%19.75%20.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.504.754.755.0022.22%21.04%21.03%20.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.30%E -4.49%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.26%E -0.252%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 00:04
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.11%E -5.22%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.21%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 19:39
MyBookie.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.11%E -5.22%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.21%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 19:39
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.10%EV -6.11%E -5.22%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -6.99%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 19:40
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 80.10%EV -6.11%E -5.22%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -6.99%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 19:39
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.91%E -5.95%K -43.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 01:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.