Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders v Arizona State Sun Devils

2026-10-17 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 82.34%1.21fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -21.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.78%82.35%82.32%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.151.151.1789.29%86.89%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona State Sun Devils (Visit)

Prediction 17.66%5.66fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -0.638%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%17.65%17.68%19.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.305.405.5021.05%18.86%18.52%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 82.34%; Arizona State Sun Devils (Visit): 17.66%. For Arizona State Sun Devils (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.66. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.50, with an expected value of -2.87%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -4.64%E -0.859%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 12:14
FanDuel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.64%E -0.859%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.64%E -0.859%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 12:14
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.64%E -0.859%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 12:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.64%E -0.859%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 12:15
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.64%E -0.859%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 12:14
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.40%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 13:49
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 13:49
betfred_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 13:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.64%E -0.859%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 12:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.64%E -0.859%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 12:14
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.64%E -0.859%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -6.40%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 12:15
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -6.40%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 13:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 13:48
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 13:44
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:59
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 13:43
LeoVegas🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.78%EV -6.96%E -6.16%K -53.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -16.12%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.78%E -6.95%K -64.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-10-11 13:54
Polymarket◎1.14I 87.72%NM 82.19%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.81%6.7%2026-10-11 13:53
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.04%9.7%2026-10-11 14:00