Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders v Abilene Christian Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 23:05 UTC

Final: Texas Tech Red Raiders 33–10 Abilene Christian Wildcats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 97.01%1.03fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -201.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.31%97.01%99.34%99.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.80%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Abilene Christian Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 2.99%33.45fair odd
EV +381.26%
Edge +2.37%
Kelly +2.38%
Growth +9.08%

assuming max odds 161.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
0.62%2.99%0.66%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0069.7012.50161.008.33%1.43%8.00%0.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 97.01%; Abilene Christian Wildcats (Visit): 2.99%. For Abilene Christian Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 33.45. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 161.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +381.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.38%EV -2.99%E -2.99%K +0.000%G +0.000%161.00I 0.62%NM 0.62%EV +381.26%E +2.37%K +2.38%G +9.08%0.6%2026-08-31 17:39
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.34%EV -2.99%E -2.99%K +0.000%G +0.000%151.00I 0.66%NM 0.66%EV +351.36%E +2.33%K +2.34%G +8.23%0.7%2026-08-30 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -2.02%E -2.00%K -201.91%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -62.64%E -5.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 06:54
betano_uk🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -2.99%E -2.99%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -64.13%E -5.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 06:35
Bet Victor🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -2.99%E -2.99%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -64.13%E -5.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 06:37
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-09-04 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-04 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-04 03:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-04 03:30