The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Texas State Bobcats v Utah State Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 23:33 UTC

Final: Texas State Bobcats 20–17 Utah State Aggies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas State Bobcats (Local)

Prediction 82.65%1.21fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -13.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.14%82.39%82.64%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.161.151.1890.09%86.51%86.96%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah State Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 17.35%5.76fair odd
EV +4.09%
Edge +0.682%
Kelly +0.819%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.97%17.61%17.36%19.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.725.235.256.0021.19%19.12%19.05%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas State Bobcats (Local): 82.65%; Utah State Aggies (Visit): 17.35%. For Utah State Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.76. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.819%G +0.034%4.4%2026-10-24 23:09
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.26%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.74%EV +0.103%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-24 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -0.070%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -0.070%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -0.244%E -0.042%K -0.051%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-24 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -0.244%E -0.042%K -0.051%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 23:15
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -1.11%E -0.195%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 23:10
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-24 23:15
Caesars🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 23:15
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 23:14
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 23:08
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 23:09
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -5.45%E -1.000%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 23:30
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.32%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 23:25
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.52%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.48%EV -6.66%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 23:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -7.18%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.05%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 23:15
picklebet_au🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -8.05%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 23:24
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 23:24
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 23:15
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.79%E -1.88%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 23:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 20:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 22:55
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 23:15
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -8.26%E -7.44%K -75.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.99%E -3.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 20:54
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -14.99%E -3.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -16.73%E -3.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -16.73%E -3.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -16.73%E -3.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 23:30
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -16.73%E -3.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -16.73%E -3.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -16.73%E -3.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 23:30
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -16.73%E -3.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 23:30
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -16.73%E -3.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 23:23
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -16.73%E -3.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -17.59%E -3.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 23:05
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.14%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 19.86%EV -18.11%E -3.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.47%6.42I 15.58%NM 15.53%0.3%2026-10-24 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-10-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-10-24 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-10-24 23:10
Kalshi◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-10-24 23:30
Polymarket◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-10-24 20:11
Novig◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-10-24 23:25
ProphetX◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.10%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.90%1.1%2026-10-24 23:30