Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas State Bobcats v North Texas Mean Green

2026-09-19 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

61%

39%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas State Bobcats (Local)

Prediction 61.10%1.64fair odd

EV -1.64%

Edge -1.02%

Kelly -2.68%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.13%60.84%61.10%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.501.541.521.6166.67%65.05%65.79%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Texas Mean Green (Visit)

Prediction 38.90%2.57fair odd

EV -0.792%

Edge -0.311%

Kelly -0.511%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.50%39.16%38.90%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.302.412.402.5543.48%41.46%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Texas State Bobcats (Local): 61.10%; North Texas Mean Green (Visit): 38.90%. For North Texas Mean Green (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.55, with an expected value of -0.792%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -1.64%E -1.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -8.18%E -3.47%K -6.02%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-13 12:15
Fliff🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.86%E -1.80%K -4.85%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.52%E -4.57%K -8.09%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-13 12:15
Coolbet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.08%E -2.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.85%E -2.42%K -4.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-13 12:25
SportsBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -4.08%E -2.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -10.13%E -4.39%K -7.73%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-13 12:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.91%E -3.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.792%E -0.311%K -0.511%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-13 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.69%K -13.72%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.68%E -1.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-13 12:15
ReBet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -7.75%E -5.13%K -15.19%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -5.07%E -2.08%K -3.52%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-13 14:25
William Hill🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.36%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.74%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-13 12:15
LeoVegas🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.36%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.63%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-13 12:15
betano_uk🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.36%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.63%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-13 12:14
Bet Victor🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.36%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.63%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-13 12:13

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%	2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%	8.6%	2026-09-13 14:05