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Texas State Bobcats v North Texas Mean Green
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Texas State Bobcats (Local)
Prediction 56.91%1.76fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%56.96%56.70%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.671.7161.73%59.86%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
North Texas Mean Green (Visit)
Prediction 43.09%2.32fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +0.901%
Kelly +1.56%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%43.04%43.30%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.202.3748.78%45.23%45.45%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas State Bobcats (Local): 56.91%; North Texas Mean Green (Visit): 43.09%. For North Texas Mean Green (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -6.68%E -4.07%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV +2.13%E +0.901%K +1.56%G +0.033% | 3.2% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +1.27%E +0.541%K +0.943%G +0.012% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 15:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.97%E -2.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.882%E -0.384%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.97%E -2.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.882%E -0.384%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.882%E -0.384%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.97%E -2.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -1.31%E -0.573%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.74%E -0.765%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.97%E -2.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.18%E -0.958%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.83%E -2.27%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.83%E -2.27%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-16 17:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.97%E -2.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-14 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.54%E -3.34%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.47%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 15:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.26%E -1.92%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.33%E -1.95%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 15:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.97%E -2.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.76%E -2.15%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.69%E -1.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.83%E -2.27%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.83%E -2.27%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 20:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 20:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 10:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.05%E -2.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 15:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.97%E -2.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.05%E -2.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.97%E -2.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.05%E -2.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.05%E -2.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.05%E -2.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 14:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -8.21%E -3.85%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.26%E -1.92%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.66%E -5.69%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 15:51 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.26%E -1.92%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.66%E -5.69%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 15:47 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |