Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns v Ole Miss Rebels

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 23:49 UTC

Final: Texas Longhorns 34–27 Ole Miss Rebels

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 59.08%1.69fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.47%59.05%59.07%60.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.621.6564.52%61.95%61.73%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ole Miss Rebels (Visit)

Prediction 40.92%2.44fair odd
EV +0.245%
Edge +0.100%
Kelly +0.169%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.66%40.95%40.93%42.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.302.4545.45%43.65%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 59.08%; Ole Miss Rebels (Visit): 40.92%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.245%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.245%E +0.100%K +0.169%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-24 23:35
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -0.983%E -0.406%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-24 23:29
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.10%E -1.89%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.80%E -0.750%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-24 23:45
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.80%E -0.750%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-24 23:35
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.62%E -1.10%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 23:39
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.44%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-24 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 23:30
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 23:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 23:30
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 23:45
Caesars🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.69%E -2.27%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.26%E -1.82%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 21:44
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.10%E -1.89%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 23:30
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 23:23
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 23:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 23:20
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 23:24
picklebet_au🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 23:30
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 23:37
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 23:34
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.42%E -5.43%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 23:18
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.42%E -5.43%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 23:19
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.69%E -2.27%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 22:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 23:35
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -7.12%E -3.14%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 23:24
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 02:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 23:35
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 23:35
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -8.35%E -3.73%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.76%E -3.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.76%E -3.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 23:25
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.76%E -3.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.76%E -3.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.10%E -1.89%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.76%E -3.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 23:24
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.10%E -1.89%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.76%E -3.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 23:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.10%E -1.89%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.76%E -3.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 23:25
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.69%E -2.27%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.76%E -3.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 23:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.69%E -2.27%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.76%E -3.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 23:25
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-23 20:30
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 23:45
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-10-24 23:25
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-10-24 23:30
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-10-24 23:45
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-10-24 22:55
ProphetX◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-10-24 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-10-24 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-10-24 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-10-24 23:45
BetOpenly◎1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%3.4%2026-10-24 23:20