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Texas Longhorns v Ohio State Buckeyes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Texas Longhorns (Local)
Prediction 54.33%1.84fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.618%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.79%54.43%54.18%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.751.8258.82%57.02%57.14%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit)
Prediction 45.67%2.19fair odd
EV +0.480%
Edge +0.218%
Kelly +0.400%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%45.57%45.82%47.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.092.062.2050.25%47.95%48.54%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 54.33%; Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit): 45.67%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.480%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.480%E +0.218%K +0.400%G +0.002% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.64%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +0.480%E +0.218%K +0.400%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.47%E -3.14%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.80%E -0.839%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 23:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.47%E -3.14%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.80%E -0.839%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 22:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.47%E -3.14%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.80%E -0.839%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.47%E -3.14%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.80%E -0.839%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.47%E -3.14%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.80%E -0.839%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.47%E -3.14%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.80%E -0.839%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.47%E -3.14%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.80%E -0.839%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 23:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.64%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.80%E -0.839%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 23:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.72%E -1.28%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.12%E -0.618%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -3.17%E -1.50%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.01%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.17%E -1.50%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 23:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.63%E -1.72%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.01%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.63%E -1.72%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.75%E -1.54%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.30%E -1.85%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.91%E -2.87%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 23:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -1.67%E -0.921%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -1.67%E -0.921%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -1.67%E -0.921%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -1.67%E -0.921%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.30%E -1.85%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 23:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 23:21 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 23:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.47%E -3.14%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.47%E -3.14%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.83%E -3.35%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -3.30%E -1.85%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -9.11%E -4.58%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 23:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73% | 1.2% | 2026-09-12 23:40 |