The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Texas Longhorns v Mississippi State Bulldogs

2026-10-31 23:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 89.22%1.12fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -4.23%
Kelly -64.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.11%89.22%89.37%89.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.061.061.0795.24%94.34%94.34%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mississippi State Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 10.78%9.28fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.213%
Kelly -0.239%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 9.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.52%10.78%10.63%14.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.897.909.1016.67%12.67%12.66%10.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Texas Longhorns (Local): 89.22%; Mississippi State Bulldogs (Visit): 10.78%. For Mississippi State Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.28. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 9.10, with an expected value of -1.94%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.53%E -4.23%K -64.72%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV -1.94%E -0.213%K -0.239%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 05:55
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.53%E -4.23%K -64.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.02%E -0.335%K -0.377%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 05:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.53%E -4.23%K -64.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -8.41%E -0.989%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 06:00
ReBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.04%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.37%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -15.95%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 06:00
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -16.49%E -2.13%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 05:55
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.31%E -6.01%K -126.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.79%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-25 05:55
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -6.31%E -6.01%K -126.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -24.57%E -3.51%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 06:00
picklebet_au🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -6.31%E -6.01%K -126.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.34%E -5.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 06:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-10-25 06:25
Polymarket◎1.08I 92.59%NM 87.69%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.31%5.6%2026-10-25 06:10
Novig◎1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%7.7%2026-10-25 06:20