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Texas Longhorns v Florida Gators
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Texas Longhorns (Local)
Prediction 80.58%1.24fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -16.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.36%80.39%80.57%81.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.181.2087.72%84.67%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Florida Gators (Visit)
Prediction 19.42%5.15fair odd
EV +1.94%
Edge +0.370%
Kelly +0.457%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.35%19.61%19.43%22.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.834.905.2524.39%20.71%20.41%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 80.58%; Florida Gators (Visit): 19.42%. For Florida Gators (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +1.94%E +0.370%K +0.457%G +0.009% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -0.000%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -0.000%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -0.971%E -0.190%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-17 15:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -0.971%E -0.190%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-17 15:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.30%E -2.75%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -2.91%E -0.583%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-17 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.11%E -3.45%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.91%E -0.583%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.11%E -3.45%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.91%E -0.583%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.11%E -3.45%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.91%E -0.583%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.91%E -0.583%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.91%E -0.583%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.91%E -0.583%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.91%E -0.583%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.91%E -0.583%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.91%E -0.583%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.91%E -0.583%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.91%E -0.583%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 15:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.91%E -0.583%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.55%EV -3.30%E -2.75%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.45%EV -3.50%E -0.703%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.30%E -2.75%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -4.85%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.11%E -3.45%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -4.85%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-17 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.11%E -3.45%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -4.85%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-17 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.85%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.85%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.85%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.85%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 15:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.85%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.85%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.11%E -3.45%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.80%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.80%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.11%E -3.45%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.77%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.11%E -3.45%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.77%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.11%E -3.45%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.77%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.11%E -3.45%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.77%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.11%E -3.45%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.77%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.11%E -3.45%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.77%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.10%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -8.54%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.74%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -9.71%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 15:50 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.91%E -4.16%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.68%E -2.32%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.33%E -6.37%K -48.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.68%E -2.32%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.33%E -6.37%K -48.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.68%E -2.32%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.30%E -2.75%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.62%E -2.80%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.62%E -2.80%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 13:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.62%E -2.80%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 15:53 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -12.62%E -2.80%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.30%E -2.75%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.56%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -16.51%E -3.84%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 15:57 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -3.30%E -2.75%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -20.39%E -4.97%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 15:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95% | 0.3% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.43% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.57% | 0.7% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 15:39 |