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Texas A&M Aggies v Missouri State Bears

2026-09-05 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas A&M Aggies (Local)

Prediction 97.78%1.02fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -124.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
93.38%97.78%98.78%99.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.80%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri State Bears (Visit)

Prediction 2.22%45.06fair odd
EV +146.34%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +1.95%

assuming max odds 111.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
0.89%2.22%1.22%6.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
14.2548.7521.00111.007.02%2.05%4.76%0.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Texas A&M Aggies (Local): 97.78%; Missouri State Bears (Visit): 2.22%. For Missouri State Bears (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 45.06. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 111.00, producing a positive expected value of +146.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.11%EV -2.22%E -2.22%K +0.000%G +0.000%111.00I 0.90%NM 0.89%EV +146.34%E +1.32%K +1.33%G +1.95%0.9%2026-06-23 22:10
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.78%EV -2.22%E -2.22%K +0.000%G +0.000%81.00I 1.23%NM 1.22%EV +79.76%E +0.985%K +0.997%G +0.795%1.2%2026-07-28 11:29
Coolbet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -2.22%E -2.22%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -53.40%E -2.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.29%EV -2.22%E -2.22%K +0.000%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.71%EV -63.38%E -3.84%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -1.24%E -1.23%K -124.15%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -68.38%E -4.80%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.09%Betr (AU) 1.01 (99.1%) / Unibet (UK) 111.00 (0.9%)Show details
Texas A&M Aggies (Local)Missouri State Bears (Visit)Margin
Betr (AU)🎯 1.01 (99.1%)Unibet (UK)🎯 111.00 (0.9%)+0.089%