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Texas A&M Aggies v Arizona State Sun Devils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Texas A&M Aggies (Local)
Prediction 84.25%1.19fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -8.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.67%84.03%84.15%85.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.65%88.50%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona State Sun Devils (Visit)
Prediction 15.75%6.35fair odd
EV +4.12%
Edge +0.623%
Kelly +0.734%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 6.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.47%15.97%15.85%19.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.976.006.6120.83%16.74%16.67%15.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas A&M Aggies (Local): 84.25%; Arizona State Sun Devils (Visit): 15.75%. For Arizona State Sun Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.35. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.64%E -5.04%K -47.01%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +4.12%E +0.623%K +0.734%G +0.030% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.64%E -5.04%K -47.01%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +4.12%E +0.623%K +0.734%G +0.030% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.64%E -5.04%K -47.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.39%E +0.367%K +0.434%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.64%E -5.04%K -47.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.39%E +0.367%K +0.434%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 16:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.48%E -5.84%K -58.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.39%E +0.367%K +0.434%G +0.010% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.48%E -5.84%K -58.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.39%E +0.367%K +0.434%G +0.010% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 16:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.48%E -5.84%K -58.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.39%E +0.367%K +0.434%G +0.010% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.48%E -5.84%K -58.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.39%E +0.367%K +0.434%G +0.010% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.33%E -6.66%K -73.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +2.39%E +0.367%K +0.434%G +0.010% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.33%E -6.66%K -73.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +2.39%E +0.367%K +0.434%G +0.010% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.33%E -6.66%K -73.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +2.39%E +0.367%K +0.434%G +0.010% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.33%E -6.66%K -73.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +2.39%E +0.367%K +0.434%G +0.010% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.33%E -6.66%K -73.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +2.39%E +0.367%K +0.434%G +0.010% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.80%E -4.25%K -36.92%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +0.810%E +0.127%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.80%E -4.25%K -36.92%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -0.765%E -0.121%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.96%E -3.47%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -1.55%E -0.248%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 15:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.64%E -5.04%K -47.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.55%E -0.248%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 14:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.80%E -4.25%K -36.92%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -2.34%E -0.377%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.80%E -4.25%K -36.92%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -2.34%E -0.377%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.96%E -3.47%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -3.92%E -0.642%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 16:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.03%EV -3.11%E -2.71%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.97%EV -4.70%E -0.777%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.96%E -3.47%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.49%E -0.915%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 16:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.80%E -4.25%K -36.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.49%E -0.915%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.80%E -4.25%K -36.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.49%E -0.915%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.64%E -5.04%K -47.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.49%E -0.915%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -5.64%E -5.04%K -47.01%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.02%EV -7.54%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -5.64%E -5.04%K -47.01%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.02%EV -7.54%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.80%E -4.25%K -36.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.64%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.80%E -4.25%K -36.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.64%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.64%E -5.04%K -47.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.64%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.64%E -5.04%K -47.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.64%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.96%E -3.47%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.43%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:21 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.80%E -4.25%K -36.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.43%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 15:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.48%E -5.84%K -58.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -9.43%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -5.04%K -47.01%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.22%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.71%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.37%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.96%E -3.47%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.37%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.64%E -5.04%K -47.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.37%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 06:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.80%E -4.25%K -36.92%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -14.94%E -2.77%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.27%E -1.96%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -17.30%E -3.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.11%E -2.71%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -17.30%E -3.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -1.43%E -1.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -18.09%E -3.48%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.43%E -1.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -21.24%E -4.25%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.43%E -1.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -21.24%E -4.25%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -3.11%E -2.71%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -24.39%E -5.08%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 16:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 15:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |