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Texas A&M Aggies v Arizona State Sun Devils

2026-09-12 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas A&M Aggies (Local)

Prediction 83.02%1.20fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -3.94%
Kelly -30.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.70%83.02%83.02%83.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.141.141.1589.29%87.87%87.72%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona State Sun Devils (Visit)

Prediction 16.98%5.89fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.413%
Kelly -0.500%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.55%16.98%16.98%18.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.495.505.7520.00%18.21%18.18%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Texas A&M Aggies (Local): 83.02%; Arizona State Sun Devils (Visit): 16.98%. For Arizona State Sun Devils (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.89. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.75, with an expected value of -2.37%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.53%E -3.94%K -30.17%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.22%E -0.565%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.36%E -4.70%K -38.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.37%E -0.413%K -0.500%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 02:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.36%E -4.70%K -38.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.62%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 02:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.36%E -4.70%K -38.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.62%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 03:05
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.02%E -6.26%K -58.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -15.11%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-06 09:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.