The School of Odds

Tennessee Volunteers v Texas Longhorns

2026-09-26 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tennessee Volunteers (Local)

Prediction 31.57%3.17fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.687%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.96%31.57%31.57%32.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.802.952.953.1035.71%33.90%33.90%32.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Texas Longhorns (Visit)

Prediction 68.43%1.46fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -10.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.31%68.43%68.43%69.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.361.381.391.4073.53%72.29%71.94%71.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.13%E -0.687%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.88%E -3.51%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 15:10
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 15:14
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.