Language:English
Tennessee Volunteers v Texas Longhorns
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tennessee Volunteers (Local)
Prediction 35.61%2.81fair odd
EV -0.291%
Edge -0.104%
Kelly -0.161%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%35.68%35.56%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.652.8040.00%37.79%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Texas Longhorns (Visit)
Prediction 64.39%1.55fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.970%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.32%64.44%65.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.481.481.5369.93%67.55%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Volunteers (Local): 35.61%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 64.39%. For Tennessee Volunteers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.291%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.291%E -0.104%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.64%E -4.58%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.07%E -0.753%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-26 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.07%E -0.753%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 14:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -2.43%E -0.886%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 15:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -3.14%E -1.15%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -7.28%E -5.05%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 16:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -3.50%E -1.29%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -4.06%E -2.72%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-26 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-26 16:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.06%E -2.72%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 14:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 14:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 14:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.35%E -3.64%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.35%E -3.64%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.99%E -4.10%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.64%E -4.58%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.92%E -5.54%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.63%E -2.13%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.48%E -0.970%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.63%E -2.13%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.48%E -0.970%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.63%E -2.13%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.63%E -2.13%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 16:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.63%E -2.13%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.63%E -2.13%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.63%E -2.13%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.63%E -2.13%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 14:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.63%E -2.13%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.99%E -4.10%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.63%E -2.13%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.28%E -5.05%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -1.48%E -0.970%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.70%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.28%E -5.05%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 01:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -8.12%E -3.15%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -5.99%E -4.10%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-26 16:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -9.19%E -3.61%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.13%E -1.40%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.19%E -3.61%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 16:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.19%E -3.61%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 16:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -9.55%E -3.76%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -4.06%E -2.72%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 15:52 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.28%E -5.05%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-26 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.28%E -5.05%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-26 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-09-26 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75% | 1.4% | 2026-09-26 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29% | 1.4% | 2026-09-26 16:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-09-26 16:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.4% | 2026-09-26 16:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27% | 2.8% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27% | 2.8% | 2026-09-26 16:05 |