The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Tennessee Volunteers v Alabama Crimson Tide

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 19:45 UTC

Final: Tennessee Volunteers 26–10 Alabama Crimson Tide

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers (Local)

Prediction 27.40%3.65fair odd
EV +4.12%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.061%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.20%27.57%27.39%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.423.453.8033.33%29.21%28.99%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)

Prediction 72.60%1.38fair odd
EV -0.537%
Edge -0.392%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%72.43%72.61%74.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.321.3780.00%76.24%75.76%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Volunteers (Local): 27.40%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 72.60%. For Tennessee Volunteers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +4.12%E +1.08%K +1.47%G +0.061%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -7.07%E -5.52%K -25.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 19:45
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.36%E -0.378%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.89%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 19:45
Caesars🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.36%E -0.378%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.89%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 17:44
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.36%E -0.378%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 19:45
Pinnacle🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -2.46%E -0.690%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-17 19:35
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.73%E -0.769%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 19:35
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.73%E -0.769%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 16:59
BetAnything🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.73%E -0.769%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.89%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-17 12:20
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.73%E -0.769%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 19:00
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-17 19:35
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 19:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.89%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 18:44
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 15:05
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 19:30
NordicBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -5.20%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 19:30
GTbets🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 19:45
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 18:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 18:45
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 18:44
Bally Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 18:43
Betr (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 17:00
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.07%E -5.52%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 05:14
TAB🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 18:45
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 19:34
picklebet_au🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-16 19:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 19:30
Fliff🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.07%E -5.52%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 19:45
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -9.25%E -7.40%K -37.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.66%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.66%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 19:35
Neds🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 19:35
Dabble (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 19:43
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.07%E -5.52%K -25.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 19:35
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.07%E -5.52%K -25.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 19:35
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 19:33
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -0.537%E -0.392%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -1.99%E -1.47%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 19:44
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.80%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-10-17 19:35
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-10-17 19:10
Polymarket◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-10-17 19:30
ProphetX◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-10-17 19:40
Matchbook◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-10-17 19:25
BetOpenly◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%2.6%2026-10-17 19:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.2%2026-10-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.2%2026-10-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.2%2026-10-17 19:45