Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Temple Owls v Penn State Nittany Lions

Início: 2026-09-12 16:00 UTC

Final: Temple Owls 9–27 Penn State Nittany Lions

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Temple Owls (Local)

Previsão 7.03%14.23odd justa
EV +12.46%
Vantagem +0.779%
Kelly +0.831%
Crescimento +0.104%

pressupondo odds máximas de 16.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.05%7.24%6.91%10.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
9.0013.3413.9616.0011.11%7.50%7.16%6.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Penn State Nittany Lions (Visitante)

Previsão 92.97%1.08odd justa
EV -2.38%
Vantagem -2.27%
Kelly -47.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
89.73%92.76%93.09%93.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.011.031.031.0599.01%97.42%97.09%95.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Temple Owls (Local): 7.03%; Penn State Nittany Lions (Visitante): 92.97%. Para Temple Owls (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 14.23. 19 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 16.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +12.46%.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetMGM🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +12.46%E +0.779%K +0.831%G +0.104%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.24%E -4.12%K -141.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.43%E +0.362%K +0.388%G +0.021%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.24%E -4.12%K -141.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 15:45
DraftKings🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.43%E +0.362%K +0.388%G +0.021%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.24%E -4.12%K -141.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 15:40
BetAnything🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.43%E +0.362%K +0.388%G +0.021%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.24%E -4.12%K -141.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 14:40
FanDuel🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +5.43%E +0.362%K +0.388%G +0.021%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.17%E -5.07%K -258.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +5.43%E +0.362%K +0.388%G +0.021%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.17%E -5.07%K -258.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +5.43%E +0.362%K +0.388%G +0.021%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.17%E -5.07%K -258.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +5.43%E +0.362%K +0.388%G +0.021%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.17%E -5.07%K -258.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Bally Bet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +5.43%E +0.362%K +0.388%G +0.021%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.17%E -5.07%K -258.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +5.43%E +0.362%K +0.388%G +0.021%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.10%E -6.04%K -609.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 15:20
Neds🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +5.43%E +0.362%K +0.388%G +0.021%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.10%E -6.04%K -609.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 15:20
BetRivers🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +5.43%E +0.362%K +0.388%G +0.021%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.10%E -6.04%K -609.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +5.43%E +0.362%K +0.388%G +0.021%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.10%E -6.04%K -609.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +5.43%E +0.362%K +0.388%G +0.021%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.10%E -6.04%K -609.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +5.43%E +0.362%K +0.388%G +0.021%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.10%E -6.04%K -609.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +5.43%E +0.362%K +0.388%G +0.021%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.10%E -6.04%K -609.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 20:30
BetUS🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +1.92%E +0.132%K +0.142%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.24%E -4.12%K -141.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 14:40
GTbets🎯14.45I 6.92%NM 6.65%EV +1.57%E +0.108%K +0.117%G +0.002%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.35%EV -4.24%E -4.12%K -141.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 15:45
Fliff🎯14.30I 6.99%NM 6.66%EV +0.513%E +0.036%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.34%EV -5.17%E -5.07%K -258.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 15:55
Fanatics🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV -1.60%E -0.114%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.31%E -3.18%K -82.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-07 19:58
theScore Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -1.60%E -0.114%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.17%E -5.07%K -258.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯13.96I 7.16%NM 6.87%EV -1.88%E -0.134%K -0.145%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.13%EV -4.24%E -4.12%K -141.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯13.96I 7.16%NM 6.87%EV -1.88%E -0.134%K -0.145%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.13%EV -4.24%E -4.12%K -141.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:40
Pinnacle🎯13.27I 7.54%NM 7.27%EV -6.73%E -0.507%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.73%EV -3.31%E -3.18%K -82.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 15:45
Caesars🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -8.62%E -0.663%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.31%E -3.18%K -82.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 14:19
Bet Right🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -8.62%E -0.663%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.24%E -4.12%K -141.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:30
Dabble (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.62%E -0.663%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.17%E -5.07%K -258.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 15:50
Coolbet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -12.14%E -0.971%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.24%E -4.12%K -141.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 16:27
Betr (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -12.14%E -0.971%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.17%E -5.07%K -258.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 15:55
Betsson🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -12.14%E -0.971%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.17%E -5.07%K -258.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 15:55
NordicBet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -12.14%E -0.971%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.17%E -5.07%K -258.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 15:55
MyBookie.ag🎯12.30I 8.13%NM 7.73%EV -13.54%E -1.10%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.27%EV -4.24%E -4.12%K -141.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:04
Everygame🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.65%E -1.30%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.24%E -4.12%K -141.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:18
SportsBet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -15.65%E -1.30%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.17%E -5.07%K -258.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 14:20
ReBet🎯11.75I 8.51%NM 8.13%EV -17.41%E -1.48%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.87%EV -3.31%E -3.18%K -82.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 15:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -22.68%E -2.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.38%E -2.27%K -47.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 08:10
Unibet (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -22.68%E -2.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.31%E -3.18%K -82.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Bovada🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -22.68%E -2.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.31%E -3.18%K -82.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 10:40
Bet Victor🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -22.68%E -2.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.17%E -5.07%K -258.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 15:51
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -29.71%E -2.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -2.38%E -2.27%K -47.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 04:05
LeoVegas🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -29.71%E -2.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.31%E -3.18%K -82.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
William Hill🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -29.71%E -2.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.31%E -3.18%K -82.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:15
betano_uk🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -36.74%E -4.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.24%E -4.12%K -141.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 14:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89%0.4%2026-09-12 15:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%0.6%2026-09-12 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%0.6%2026-09-12 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%0.6%2026-09-12 15:45
Matchbook◎18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%0.6%2026-09-12 15:45