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TCU Horned Frogs v BYU Cougars
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TCU Horned Frogs (Local)
Prediction 34.77%2.88fair odd
EV +6.05%
Edge +1.98%
Kelly +2.95%
Growth +0.179%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.15%34.86%34.75%36.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.572.762.763.0538.91%36.27%36.23%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
BYU Cougars (Visit)
Prediction 65.23%1.53fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -4.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.46%65.14%65.25%68.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.441.5072.46%68.97%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TCU Horned Frogs (Local): 34.77%; BYU Cougars (Visit): 65.23%. For TCU Horned Frogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +6.05%E +1.98%K +2.95%G +0.179% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -0.555%E -0.194%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -0.555%E -0.194%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.902%E -0.317%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.902%E -0.317%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.64%E -0.943%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.64%E -0.943%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.64%E -0.943%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 22:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.64%E -0.943%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.64%E -0.943%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.64%E -0.943%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.64%E -0.943%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.64%E -0.943%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.64%E -0.943%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.64%E -0.943%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 22:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.64%E -0.943%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.64%E -0.943%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.64%E -0.943%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.34%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.11%E -2.80%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.34%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -4.03%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -4.11%E -2.80%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 22:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -4.03%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.11%E -2.80%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 22:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 22:43 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.77%E -3.26%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 20:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.86%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.86%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.86%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -8.20%E -3.11%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.90%E -3.40%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.90%E -3.40%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -10.64%E -4.14%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.85I 35.09%NM 35.08% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.92% | 0.0% | 2026-10-03 22:59 |
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 1.7% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |