Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Orange v SMU Mustangs

2026-10-31 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

26%

74%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Orange (Local)

Prediction 25.60%3.91fair odd

EV -4.02%

Edge -1.07%

Kelly -1.46%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.00%25.65%25.60%27.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.253.633.703.7530.77%27.55%27.03%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SMU Mustangs (Visit)

Prediction 74.40%1.34fair odd

EV -4.02%

Edge -3.11%

Kelly -13.85%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

72.71%74.35%74.40%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.221.261.251.2981.97%79.43%79.68%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Syracuse Orange (Local): 25.60%; SMU Mustangs (Visit): 74.40%. For Syracuse Orange (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -4.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.02%E -3.11%K -13.85%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-25 05:52
Fanatics🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.02%E -3.11%K -13.85%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-25 05:55
William Hill🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.99%E -5.60%K -27.98%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-25 05:55
DraftKings🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.02%E -3.11%K -13.85%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-25 05:55
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.51%E -4.34%K -20.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-25 05:55
SportsBet🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.99%E -5.60%K -27.98%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-25 04:50
ReBet🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.25%E -4.96%K -24.04%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-10-25 05:55
Paddy Power🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.23%E -7.56%K -41.94%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-10-25 04:55
LeoVegas🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.99%E -5.60%K -27.98%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-10-25 06:00
picklebet_au🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -16.82%E -5.17%K -7.47%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 72.71%EV -9.23%E -7.56%K -41.94%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-10-25 05:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%	1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%	3.1%	2026-10-25 06:10
Novig◎	3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%	4.3%	2026-10-25 06:40
Polymarket◎	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%	7.1%	2026-10-25 06:10
ProphetX◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%	1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%	100.0%	2026-10-25 06:05