Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Orange v New Hampshire Wildcats

2026-09-05 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Orange (Local)

Prediction 96.78%1.03fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -225.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.79%96.78%96.78%97.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.40%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Hampshire Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 3.22%31.05fair odd
EV +32.06%
Edge +0.782%
Kelly +0.802%
Growth +0.257%

assuming max odds 41.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.38%3.22%3.22%7.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.0026.2526.0041.007.69%3.81%3.85%2.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Syracuse Orange (Local): 96.78%; New Hampshire Wildcats (Visit): 3.22%. For New Hampshire Wildcats (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 31.05. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 41.00, producing a positive expected value of +32.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -3.22%E -3.22%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +32.06%E +0.782%K +0.802%G +0.257%2.4%2026-09-02 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -3.22%E -3.22%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +15.96%E +0.443%K +0.456%G +0.073%2.8%2026-09-02 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -2.25%E -2.23%K -225.32%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV -16.25%E -0.625%K -0.650%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-31 13:14
ReBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.79%EV -2.25%E -2.23%K -225.32%G +0.000%15.25I 6.56%NM 6.21%EV -50.88%E -3.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 16:10
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -2.25%E -2.23%K -225.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -58.13%E -4.47%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97%1.0%2026-09-02 17:05
Novig1.01I 99.01%NM 96.77%30.30I 3.30%NM 3.23%2.3%2026-09-02 22:10
ProphetX1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%2.9%2026-09-02 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-01 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-01 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-01 20:55