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Syracuse Orange v Louisville Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Syracuse Orange (Local)
Prediction 17.09%5.85fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.269%
Kelly -0.325%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.55%17.35%17.13%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.465.505.7621.74%18.30%18.18%17.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Louisville Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 82.91%1.21fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -17.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.00%82.65%82.87%83.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.151.151.1789.29%87.20%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Orange (Local): 17.09%; Louisville Cardinals (Visit): 82.91%. For Syracuse Orange (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.76, with an expected value of -1.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.55%E -0.269%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 23:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.55%E -0.269%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 23:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -1.72%E -0.299%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.83%E -3.30%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.72%E -0.299%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.72%E -0.299%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.72%E -0.299%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.72%E -0.299%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.72%E -0.299%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.72%E -0.299%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.72%E -0.299%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.72%E -0.299%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.49%E -4.81%K -39.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.72%E -0.299%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.49%E -4.81%K -39.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.72%E -0.299%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.49%E -4.81%K -39.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.57%E -0.451%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 23:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -3.43%E -0.607%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -6.31%E -5.59%K -48.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 03:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -4.11%E -0.733%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -3.83%E -3.30%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-17 23:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.28%E -0.765%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 23:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.28%E -0.765%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -4.28%E -0.765%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.31%E -5.59%K -48.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -4.28%E -0.765%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.31%E -5.59%K -48.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -5.14%E -0.926%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.99%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.83%E -3.30%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-17 22:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.99%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 17:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.99%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.99%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 18:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.99%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 23:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.99%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 14:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.99%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.99%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.99%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.49%E -4.81%K -39.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 23:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.99%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.49%E -4.81%K -39.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 23:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.99%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.49%E -4.81%K -39.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-16 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.27%EV -6.67%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.73%EV -5.49%E -4.81%K -39.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 23:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 23:20 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.26%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.26%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.31%E -5.59%K -48.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.26%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.31%E -5.59%K -48.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.12%E -2.14%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.49%E -4.81%K -39.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-16 18:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.54%E -2.91%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.00%E -2.56%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.54%E -2.91%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.00%E -2.56%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.54%E -2.91%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.83%E -3.30%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-13 00:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.54%E -2.91%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.14%E -6.38%K -59.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.96%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.94%EV -6.31%E -5.59%K -48.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -21.37%E -4.65%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 23:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -21.37%E -4.65%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -4.66%E -4.05%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 23:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 6.62I 15.11%NM 15.13% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.87% | -0.1% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-10-15 00:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| Novig◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-10-17 22:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 23:20 |