Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Orange v Louisville Cardinals

2026-10-17 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Orange (Local)

Prediction 19.92%5.02fair odd
EV -0.385%
Edge -0.077%
Kelly -0.096%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%19.89%19.80%21.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.674.705.0023.26%21.41%21.28%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisville Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 80.08%1.25fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -3.96%
Kelly -24.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.61%80.11%80.20%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.191.1987.72%84.54%84.03%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Syracuse Orange (Local): 19.92%; Louisville Cardinals (Visit): 80.08%. For Syracuse Orange (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.02. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.00, with an expected value of -0.385%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.385%E -0.077%K -0.096%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 11:54
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.38%E -0.485%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 11:45
Coolbet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.37%E -0.910%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 11:49
betfred_uk🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.37%E -0.910%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 11:49
theScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.37%E -0.910%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 13:19
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.37%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 11:50
Bally Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 13:19
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 13:19
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 13:19
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 13:19
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 11:49
SportsBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -7.36%E -1.58%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 11:49
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 13:19
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 13:20
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 13:19
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 13:20
ReBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.35%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 11:49
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.35%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -8.71%E -7.64%K -62.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 11:44
LeoVegas🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -14.33%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 11:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%1.3%2026-10-11 13:04
Polymarket◎4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%8.2%2026-10-11 13:04