Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Orange v California Golden Bears

2026-09-12 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

47%

53%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Orange (Local)

Prediction 46.61%2.15fair odd

EV -4.46%

Edge -2.17%

Kelly -4.25%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.60%46.61%46.61%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.992.022.022.0550.25%49.50%49.50%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

California Golden Bears (Visit)

Prediction 53.39%1.87fair odd

EV -4.42%

Edge -2.47%

Kelly -5.60%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.05%53.39%53.39%53.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.751.771.771.7957.14%56.42%56.34%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Syracuse Orange (Local): 46.61%; California Golden Bears (Visit): 53.39%. For California Golden Bears (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.79, with an expected value of -4.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.42%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-03 20:50
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-03 21:10
Fliff🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-03 23:05
SportsBet🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -7.25%E -3.65%K -7.33%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-03 20:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%	3.9%	2026-09-04 02:20