Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Florida Bulls v Delaware State Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 23:30 UTC

Final: South Florida Bulls 59–17 Delaware State Hornets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Florida Bulls (Local)

Prediction 97.81%1.02fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -121.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
93.38%97.81%97.87%98.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.63%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Delaware State Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 2.19%45.56fair odd
EV +47.06%
Edge +0.702%
Kelly +0.713%
Growth +0.336%

assuming max odds 67.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.49%2.19%2.13%6.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
14.2544.2841.0067.007.02%2.26%2.44%1.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Florida Bulls (Local): 97.81%; Delaware State Hornets (Visit): 2.19%. For Delaware State Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 45.56. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 67.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +47.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 98.51%EV -1.22%E -1.20%K -121.69%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.49%EV +47.06%E +0.702%K +0.713%G +0.336%0.5%2026-09-19 22:54
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 98.51%EV -1.22%E -1.20%K -121.69%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.49%EV +47.06%E +0.702%K +0.713%G +0.336%0.5%2026-09-19 22:54
BetMGM🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -2.19%E -2.19%K +0.000%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +22.92%E +0.409%K +0.417%G +0.095%1.8%2026-09-19 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -2.19%E -2.19%K +0.000%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +0.966%E +0.021%K +0.021%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-17 11:54
theScore Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -2.19%E -2.19%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV -20.98%E -0.583%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-19 23:14
Coral🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.19%E -2.19%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -25.37%E -0.746%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-19 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.19%E -2.19%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -25.37%E -0.746%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-19 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -1.22%E -1.20%K -121.69%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -68.72%E -4.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.06%2.1%2026-09-19 22:54