Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks v Mississippi State Bulldogs

2026-09-19 20:15 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

72%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 71.63%1.40fair odd

EV -4.01%

Edge -3.00%

Kelly -11.81%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.43%71.63%71.58%71.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.321.331.331.3475.76%75.19%75.19%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mississippi State Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 28.37%3.52fair odd

EV -3.54%

Edge -1.04%

Kelly -1.48%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.27%28.37%28.42%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.303.353.353.4030.30%29.85%29.85%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 71.63%; Mississippi State Bulldogs (Visit): 28.37%. For Mississippi State Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -3.54%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.01%E -3.00%K -11.81%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-12 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 14:20
Coolbet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.45%E -4.13%K -17.02%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-12 14:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%	5.1%	2026-09-12 16:05
Novig◎	1.33I 75.19%NM 42.92%	1.00I 100.00%NM 57.08%	75.2%	2026-09-12 16:04