Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks v Kentucky Wildcats

2026-10-03 20:15 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 70.25%1.42fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -10.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.02%70.25%70.25%70.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.351.351.3774.63%73.80%73.80%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 29.75%3.36fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.52%29.75%29.75%29.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.203.203.2031.25%31.25%31.25%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 70.25%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 29.75%. For South Carolina Gamecocks (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.42. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.37, with an expected value of -3.75%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.75%E -2.74%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-23 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 22:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 63.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 36.95%10.9%2026-09-24 01:45