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South Carolina Gamecocks v Kentucky Wildcats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
South Carolina Gamecocks (Local)
Prediction 55.47%1.80fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.41%55.55%56.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.711.701.7759.88%58.57%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)
Prediction 44.53%2.25fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.920%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.44%44.59%44.45%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.152.2048.78%46.63%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 55.47%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 44.53%. For South Carolina Gamecocks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -1.83%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.83%E -1.03%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 07:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 19:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-02 18:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 19:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.70%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 19:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.26%E -4.01%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 19:48 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.60%E -2.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-02 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.60%E -2.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.60%E -2.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 11:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.60%E -2.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.60%E -2.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.70%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 19:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.60%E -2.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.59%E -2.63%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.60%E -2.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 20:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.60%E -2.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 19:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.15%E -3.01%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.02%E -0.920%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.15%E -3.01%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.80%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.15%E -3.01%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 00:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.15%E -3.01%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.02%E -0.920%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 13:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 20:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 20:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 19:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.70%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 20:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.70%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 20:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.26%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.02%E -0.920%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 19:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.26%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.26%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.37%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.59%E -2.63%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.37%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.37%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05% | -0.0% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 20:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.84% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.16% | 12.2% | 2026-10-03 16:35 |