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South Alabama Jaguars v UL Monroe Warhawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
South Alabama Jaguars (Local)
Prediction 81.22%1.23fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -12.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.37%81.09%81.04%82.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.171.2087.72%85.71%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UL Monroe Warhawks (Visit)
Prediction 18.78%5.32fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.599%
Kelly +0.732%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.29%18.91%18.96%20.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.095.105.5022.22%19.64%19.61%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Alabama Jaguars (Local): 81.22%; UL Monroe Warhawks (Visit): 18.78%. For UL Monroe Warhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.32. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +3.29%E +0.599%K +0.732%G +0.024% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.60%E -5.74%K -43.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +3.29%E +0.599%K +0.732%G +0.024% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.60%E -5.74%K -43.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +3.29%E +0.599%K +0.732%G +0.024% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.60%E -5.74%K -43.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +1.41%E +0.262%K +0.321%G +0.005% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 21:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.60%E -5.74%K -43.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +1.41%E +0.262%K +0.321%G +0.005% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.60%E -5.74%K -43.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +1.41%E +0.262%K +0.321%G +0.005% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 21:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.60%E -5.74%K -43.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +1.41%E +0.262%K +0.321%G +0.005% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 21:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.60%E -5.74%K -43.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +1.41%E +0.262%K +0.321%G +0.005% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.60%E -5.74%K -43.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +1.41%E +0.262%K +0.321%G +0.005% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.60%E -5.74%K -43.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +1.41%E +0.262%K +0.321%G +0.005% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.41%E -6.50%K -52.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.41%E +0.262%K +0.321%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.41%E -6.50%K -52.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.41%E +0.262%K +0.321%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -0.276%E -0.052%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -0.276%E -0.052%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.79%E -4.99%K -36.16%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -0.464%E -0.088%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.73%EV -4.16%E -3.53%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.27%EV -0.840%E -0.159%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.16%E -3.53%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -1.40%E -0.267%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 21:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.40%E -0.267%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.40%E -0.267%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 17:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.40%E -0.267%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.40%E -0.267%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 19:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.22%E -0.827%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.22%E -0.827%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.16%E -3.53%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.16%E -3.53%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 21:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.16%E -3.53%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.16%E -3.53%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.79%E -4.99%K -36.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 20:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.16%E -3.53%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.98%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.16%E -3.53%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.98%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.63%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.37%EV -8.54%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.16%E -3.53%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.16%E -3.53%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.60%E -5.74%K -43.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.60%E -5.74%K -43.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.54%E -2.11%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 20:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.16%E -3.53%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -11.73%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 21:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -12.67%E -2.73%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.16%E -3.53%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.61%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 19:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.49%E -3.44%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 22:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.49%E -3.44%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 22:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.22% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.78% | 0.1% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 0.3% | 2026-10-03 22:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.05% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.95% | 0.3% | 2026-10-03 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.98% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 17.02% | 0.4% | 2026-10-03 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |