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South Alabama Jaguars v Troy Trojans

2026-11-15 00:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Alabama Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 55.73%1.79fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -4.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%55.73%55.70%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.701.7461.73%59.04%58.82%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Troy Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 44.27%2.26fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%44.27%44.30%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.142.2050.00%47.23%46.73%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: South Alabama Jaguars (Local): 55.73%; Troy Trojans (Visit): 44.27%. For Troy Trojans (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -2.62%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.58%E -2.07%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.27%E -2.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-08 18:10
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.14%E -2.41%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.14%E -2.41%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 18:29
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.69%E -2.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.69%E -2.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 18:29
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.69%E -2.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 18:45
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.69%E -2.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.27%E -2.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 18:45
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 15:39
Caesars🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.39%E -2.03%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 19:05
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.27%E -2.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 16:55
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.81%E -3.44%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-08 18:45
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.81%E -3.44%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-08 16:54
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 18:09
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.92%E -4.15%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-08 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.92%E -4.15%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-08 18:29
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.92%E -4.15%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.26%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-08 16:55
picklebet_au🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.71%E -5.99%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -11.47%E -5.73%K -11.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-08 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.71%E -5.99%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -11.47%E -5.73%K -11.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-08 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-11-08 18:45
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-11-08 18:10
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%3.7%2026-11-08 18:15
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%6.0%2026-11-08 19:30
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%10.0%2026-11-08 19:50

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