The School of Odds

South Alabama Jaguars v Southeastern Louisiana Lions

2026-09-05 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

South Alabama Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 84.03%1.19fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -3.69%
Kelly -30.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.03%84.03%84.03%84.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.141.141.141.1487.72%87.72%87.72%87.72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Southeastern Louisiana Lions (Visit)

Prediction 15.97%6.26fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -0.700%
Kelly -0.840%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.97%15.97%15.97%15.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.006.006.006.0016.67%16.67%16.67%16.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.20%E -3.69%K -30.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.20%E -0.700%K -0.840%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 03:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.