Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Alabama Jaguars v Ohio Bobcats

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 23:02 UTC

Final: South Alabama Jaguars 41–36 Ohio Bobcats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Alabama Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 69.46%1.44fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.967%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.13%69.31%69.43%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.381.381.4274.07%72.51%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ohio Bobcats (Visit)

Prediction 30.54%3.27fair odd
EV -0.426%
Edge -0.131%
Kelly -0.188%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%30.69%30.57%32.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.053.083.2634.48%32.77%32.52%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Alabama Jaguars (Local): 69.46%; Ohio Bobcats (Visit): 30.54%. For Ohio Bobcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.26, with an expected value of -0.426%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.37%E -0.967%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 20:38
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.37%E -0.967%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 20:40
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.37%E -0.967%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.37%E -0.967%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 20:39
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.07%E -1.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 20:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.07%E -1.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.07%E -1.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 20:40
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 21:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 20:40
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 20:39
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -3.46%E -2.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -0.731%E -0.225%K -0.325%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-17 22:50
Everygame🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.26%E -0.706%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 14:01
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -2.87%E -0.902%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 00:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.79%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.79%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 00:30
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.79%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 14:01
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.37%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 21:05
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.37%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 21:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.37%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 15:16
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.37%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 15:21
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.41%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.59%EV -0.426%E -0.131%K -0.188%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 22:34
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.26%E -0.706%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.79%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 14:59
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 21:09
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 14:26
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 14:21
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 21:44
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 22:45
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.731%E -0.225%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 22:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -2.87%E -0.902%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 09:50
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 22:24
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 19:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 21:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.37%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 22:49
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 22:48
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 22:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.23%E -4.62%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 22:24
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -6.23%E -4.62%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -7.45%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 22:54
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.23%E -4.62%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.37%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.23%E -4.62%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.37%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 22:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-09-19 22:39
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-09-19 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-09-19 22:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-09-19 22:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-09-19 22:34
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-09-19 21:45