Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SMU Mustangs v Virginia Tech Hokies

2026-11-07 00:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

71%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SMU Mustangs (Local)

Prediction 71.42%1.40fair odd

EV -2.87%

Edge -2.11%

Kelly -7.97%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.50%71.42%71.42%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.301.331.331.3676.92%75.19%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit)

Prediction 28.58%3.50fair odd

EV -2.83%

Edge -0.831%

Kelly -1.18%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.66%28.58%28.58%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.253.333.333.4030.77%30.08%30.08%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SMU Mustangs (Local): 71.42%; Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit): 28.58%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -2.83%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.87%E -2.11%K -7.97%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-28 22:45
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.83%E -0.831%K -1.18%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-28 23:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22%	3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%	4.0%	2026-10-28 23:15