The School of College Oddsodds.college
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SMU Mustangs v California Golden Bears

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 16:10 UTC

Final: SMU Mustangs 59–20 California Golden Bears

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SMU Mustangs (Local)

Prediction 87.59%1.14fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -25.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.27%87.69%87.57%89.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.081.081.1197.09%92.46%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

California Golden Bears (Visit)

Prediction 12.41%8.06fair odd
EV +11.73%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.172%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.27%12.31%12.43%14.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.567.509.0016.00%13.24%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SMU Mustangs (Local): 87.59%; California Golden Bears (Visit): 12.41%. For California Golden Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.06. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.16%E -6.75%K -119.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +11.73%E +1.30%K +1.47%G +0.172%5.5%2026-10-23 11:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -9.79%E -9.50%K -326.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +11.73%E +1.30%K +1.47%G +0.172%8.2%2026-10-24 16:10
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.15%EV -3.66%E -3.32%K -36.56%G +0.000%8.18I 12.22%NM 11.85%EV +1.55%E +0.190%K +0.216%G +0.003%3.1%2026-10-24 16:10
GTbets🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.53%EV -7.16%E -6.75%K -119.32%G +0.000%8.18I 12.22%NM 11.47%EV +1.55%E +0.190%K +0.216%G +0.003%6.6%2026-10-24 16:05
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.66%E -3.32%K -36.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.684%E -0.086%K -0.098%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-24 15:35
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.53%E -4.16%K -50.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.684%E -0.086%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 16:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.684%E -0.086%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.684%E -0.086%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 16:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.684%E -0.086%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 16:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.684%E -0.086%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 16:10
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.684%E -0.086%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 16:09
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.684%E -0.086%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.684%E -0.086%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 16:09
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.684%E -0.086%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-21 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.28%E -5.87%K -89.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.684%E -0.086%K -0.098%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 16:09
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.28%E -5.87%K -89.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.684%E -0.086%K -0.098%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -4.53%E -4.16%K -50.35%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -3.17%E -0.406%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 16:10
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -3.66%E -3.32%K -36.56%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -3.79%E -0.489%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 15:30
BetAnything🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.66%E -3.32%K -36.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.89%E -0.919%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 15:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.53%E -4.16%K -50.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.89%E -0.919%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 16:05
Bet Right🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.53%E -4.16%K -50.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.89%E -0.919%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 15:35
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.53%E -4.16%K -50.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.89%E -0.919%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 20:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.89%E -0.919%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.28%E -5.87%K -89.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.89%E -0.919%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 16:10
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.37%EV -6.28%E -5.87%K -89.76%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -8.13%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 16:09
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.29%EV -6.28%E -5.87%K -89.76%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.71%EV -8.75%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 16:10
picklebet_au🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.53%E -4.16%K -50.35%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -10.00%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.53%E -4.16%K -50.35%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -10.00%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 15:30
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.53%E -4.16%K -50.35%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -10.00%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 15:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.53%E -4.16%K -50.35%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -10.00%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 16:04
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -10.00%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -2.78%E -2.50%K -25.27%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -11.48%E -1.61%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -2.78%E -2.50%K -25.27%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -11.48%E -1.61%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 15:29
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.78%E -2.50%K -25.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -13.10%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 15:30
Betway🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.53%E -4.16%K -50.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -13.10%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 16:00
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.10%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-21 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.10%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 15:35
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.10%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 09:54
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.28%E -5.87%K -89.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -13.10%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-23 20:20
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.28%E -5.87%K -89.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -13.10%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 16:10
betano_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.28%E -5.87%K -89.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -13.10%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 15:57
Bet Victor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.28%E -5.87%K -89.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -13.10%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 15:49
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.16%E -6.75%K -119.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -13.10%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 16:09
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -22.41%E -3.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.56%9.52I 10.50%NM 10.44%0.6%2026-10-24 16:05
Kalshi◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-10-24 16:00
Polymarket◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-10-24 16:05
ProphetX◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.91%8.90I 11.24%NM 11.09%1.3%2026-10-24 16:05
BetOpenly◎1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89%2.0%2026-10-24 15:59
Matchbook◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-10-24 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 88.75%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.25%3.4%2026-10-24 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 88.75%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.25%3.4%2026-10-24 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 88.75%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.25%3.4%2026-10-24 16:05