Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose State Spartans v Northern Illinois Huskies

2026-11-07 21:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose State Spartans (Local)

Prediction 76.44%1.31fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -2.93%
Kelly -14.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.16%76.40%76.49%77.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.241.251.2684.03%80.73%80.00%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northern Illinois Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 23.56%4.24fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.247%
Kelly -0.325%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.94%23.60%23.51%24.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.963.984.2027.78%25.28%25.16%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Jose State Spartans (Local): 76.44%; Northern Illinois Huskies (Visit): 23.56%. For Northern Illinois Huskies (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.24. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -1.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.69%E -2.93%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.39%E -0.828%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-01 20:10
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.69%E -2.93%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.75%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-01 19:12
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.69%E -2.93%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.11%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.45%E -3.56%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.04%E -0.247%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-01 21:59
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.45%E -3.56%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.39%E -0.828%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-01 22:00
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.45%E -3.56%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.39%E -0.828%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-01 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.45%E -3.56%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.39%E -0.828%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-01 21:30
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.45%E -3.56%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.39%E -0.828%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-01 22:14
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.45%E -3.56%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.75%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 22:05
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.45%E -3.56%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.75%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.45%E -3.56%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.75%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 22:10
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.45%E -3.56%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.93%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.45%E -3.56%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.93%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 01:40
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.45%E -3.56%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.11%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.45%E -3.56%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.11%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 22:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.93%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.98%E -4.86%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.75%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.75%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 20:10
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.93%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.46%E -2.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 22:35
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.46%E -2.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 22:34
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -7.51%E -6.21%K -35.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.46%E -2.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.27%E -6.90%K -41.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.64%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 20:15
picklebet_au🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -9.04%E -7.60%K -47.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -15.18%E -4.22%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-11-01 22:05
Polymarket◎1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%2.7%2026-11-02 01:35
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%3.2%2026-11-02 01:10
ProphetX◎1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%7.3%2026-11-02 01:10