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San Jose State Spartans v Fresno State Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Jose State Spartans (Local)
Prediction 36.43%2.74fair odd
EV +0.196%
Edge +0.071%
Kelly +0.112%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.29%36.55%36.59%38.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.442.602.632.7540.98%38.43%38.02%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fresno State Bulldogs (Visit)
Prediction 63.57%1.57fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -3.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.46%63.45%63.41%64.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.501.501.5468.49%66.64%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose State Spartans (Local): 36.43%; Fresno State Bulldogs (Visit): 63.57%. For San Jose State Spartans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.196%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.196%E +0.071%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-20 02:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.63%E -0.602%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-19 23:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.63%E -0.602%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 02:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.35%E -0.879%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 00:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.72%E -1.02%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 02:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.45%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.75%E -1.79%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-20 02:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.45%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.75%E -1.79%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-20 02:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.45%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.75%E -1.79%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-19 23:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.45%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.45%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 02:53 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.45%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 23:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.45%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 02:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.45%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 02:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.81%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -4.18%E -1.59%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.75%E -1.79%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 02:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.18%E -1.59%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 02:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.18%E -1.59%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 02:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.18%E -1.59%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 02:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.18%E -1.59%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 02:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.18%E -1.59%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 02:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.18%E -1.59%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 02:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.18%E -1.59%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 02:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -4.18%E -1.59%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 02:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -4.18%E -1.59%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 02:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.54%E -1.73%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.11%E -1.37%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-20 02:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -4.91%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -7.19%E -4.93%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 02:27 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.38%E -2.22%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 02:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 01:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 02:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 02:32 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 01:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.38%E -2.22%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 02:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.38%E -2.22%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 02:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 02:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 02:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 02:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -7.46%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 02:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.91%E -3.57%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.79%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 02:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.91%E -3.57%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.38%E -2.22%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 02:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.91%E -3.57%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 02:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.91%E -3.57%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 02:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.73%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 02:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.73%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 02:47 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -11.10%E -4.55%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -2.75%E -1.79%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 02:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 01:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 02:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 02:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 02:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 02:44 |