Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego State Aztecs v Washington State Cougars

2026-10-31 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego State Aztecs (Local)

Prediction 57.27%1.75fair odd

EV -2.64%

Edge -1.55%

Kelly -3.77%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.41%57.24%57.27%58.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.571.641.651.7063.69%61.10%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington State Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 42.73%2.34fair odd

EV -2.58%

Edge -1.13%

Kelly -2.01%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.98%42.76%42.73%43.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.052.182.202.2848.78%45.77%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Diego State Aztecs (Local): 57.27%; Washington State Cougars (Visit): 42.73%. For Washington State Cougars (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.28, with an expected value of -2.58%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -5.00%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-25 17:40
GTbets🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.21%E -1.90%K -4.66%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.86%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-10-25 18:03
BetMGM🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.51%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.86%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-25 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.71%E -2.11%K -3.83%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-25 19:10
FanDuel🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.58%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-25 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -5.00%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-25 18:19
Neds🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -5.00%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-25 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -5.00%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-25 18:59
ReBet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.85%E -3.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-25 18:20
LeoVegas🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.22%E -4.46%K -11.65%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -9.41%E -4.44%K -8.40%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-10-25 17:48
SportsBet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -5.57%E -2.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-10-25 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-10-25 17:40
Coral🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-10-25 17:39
Paddy Power🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.09%E -6.42%K -17.69%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -10.27%E -4.89%K -9.33%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-10-25 17:33
picklebet_au🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.63%EV -10.09%E -6.42%K -17.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.37%EV -12.40%E -6.05%K -11.81%G +0.000%	12.5%	2026-10-25 18:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%	2.2%	2026-10-25 18:25
Kalshi◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%	3.2%	2026-10-25 17:49
ProphetX◎	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%	5.9%	2026-10-25 19:05
Polymarket◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%	2.13I 46.95%NM 43.95%	6.8%	2026-10-25 18:25