Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sam Houston State Bearkats v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

2026-10-15 00:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sam Houston State Bearkats (Local)

Prediction 46.99%2.13fair odd
EV -0.373%
Edge -0.176%
Kelly -0.333%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.22%46.83%47.12%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.022.1252.36%49.71%49.50%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit)

Prediction 53.01%1.89fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.48%53.17%52.88%54.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.771.8359.88%56.51%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sam Houston State Bearkats (Local): 46.99%; Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit): 53.01%. For Sam Houston State Bearkats (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.12, with an expected value of -0.373%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -0.373%E -0.176%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 05:25
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.31%E -0.625%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 05:50
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 06:55
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -9.36%E -5.47%K -13.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 05:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.13%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 05:30
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 06:54
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 06:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 06:55
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 06:55
ReBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 05:30
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 04:40
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 05:30
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 06:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 06:55
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -11.48%E -6.87%K -17.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 05:25
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 05:31
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 06:35
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 06:35
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 04:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-10-11 04:35
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-10-11 06:25
Novig◎1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%5.5%2026-10-11 07:00