Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.25
assuming max odds 1.22
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sam Houston State Bearkats (Local): 19.86%; Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Visit): 80.14%. For Sam Houston State Bearkats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.04. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.24%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +4.24%E +0.808%K +0.998%G +0.042% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.83%E -6.81%K -52.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 21:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.25%E +0.624%K +0.773%G +0.025% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.23%E -5.33%K -36.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 21:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.724%E -0.145%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 21:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.724%E -0.145%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 20:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.724%E -0.145%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.724%E -0.145%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.43%E -4.60%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 21:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.724%E -0.145%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.43%E -4.60%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.44%EV -2.11%E -0.429%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.56%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.44%EV -2.11%E -0.429%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.56%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 20:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.71%E -0.553%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 14:18 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.71%E -0.553%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.43%E -4.60%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 21:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.87%EV -3.90%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.13%EV -3.83%E -3.19%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.70%E -0.978%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.83%E -3.19%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.70%E -0.978%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.83%E -3.19%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 16:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.70%E -0.978%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.83%E -3.19%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.70%E -0.978%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.70%E -0.978%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 22:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.70%E -0.978%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.69%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.83%E -3.19%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.69%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 22:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.69%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.69%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.69%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.43%E -4.60%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.10%EV -6.23%E -5.33%K -36.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.83%E -3.19%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.83%E -3.19%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.83%E -3.19%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.83%E -3.19%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.83%E -3.19%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.43%E -4.60%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -7.67%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -3.83%E -3.19%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.67%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.67%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.67%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.67%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.67%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.63%E -3.89%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.65%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.83%E -3.19%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.65%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.23%E -5.33%K -36.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 21:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.65%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.23%E -5.33%K -36.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 22:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.64%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.83%E -3.19%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -14.62%E -3.40%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.22%E -1.82%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -16.61%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -3.02%E -2.50%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.99% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 82.01% | -0.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.15% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.85% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 20:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 2.9% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 2.9% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 2.9% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 2.9% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |