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Sam Houston State Bearkats v Nicholls State Colonels
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sam Houston State Bearkats (Local)
Prediction 90.25%1.11fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -31.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.30%90.35%89.88%92.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.051.051.0898.04%95.08%95.24%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nicholls State Colonels (Visit)
Prediction 9.75%10.26fair odd
EV +22.83%
Edge +1.81%
Kelly +1.97%
Growth +0.450%
assuming max odds 12.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.62%9.65%10.12%11.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.789.5012.6012.50%10.23%10.53%7.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sam Houston State Bearkats (Local): 90.25%; Nicholls State Colonels (Visit): 9.75%. For Nicholls State Colonels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.26. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.38%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.47%G +0.000% | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.62%EV +22.83%E +1.81%K +1.97%G +0.450% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.69%EV -7.94%E -7.79%K -397.19%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.31%EV +9.67%E +0.860%K +0.944%G +0.091% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 14:06 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.24%E +0.658%K +0.724%G +0.052% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +7.24%E +0.658%K +0.724%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +7.24%E +0.658%K +0.724%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +7.24%E +0.658%K +0.724%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +7.24%E +0.658%K +0.724%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +7.24%E +0.658%K +0.724%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +7.24%E +0.658%K +0.724%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.04%E -6.84%K -234.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +7.24%E +0.658%K +0.724%G +0.052% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.04%E -6.84%K -234.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +7.24%E +0.658%K +0.724%G +0.052% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 14:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.72%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV -0.562%E -0.055%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 22:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -2.53%E -2.34%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV -7.39%E -0.778%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-19 22:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.39%E -0.778%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 22:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -7.39%E -0.778%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 14:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -2.53%E -2.34%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV -9.82%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.72%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -9.82%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.43%E -3.21%K -49.02%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.26%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 14:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.26%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-19 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.26%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-19 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.26%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 22:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.26%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 22:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.43%E -3.21%K -49.02%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -14.70%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 22:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.43%E -3.21%K -49.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.14%E -2.02%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.43%E -3.21%K -49.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.14%E -2.02%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 14:11 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.14%E -2.02%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 19:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.49%EV -3.43%E -3.21%K -49.02%G +0.000% | 8.23I 12.15%NM 11.51%EV -19.77%E -2.40%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 22:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.01%E -2.75%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.01%E -2.75%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 14:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 22:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 22:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 22:19 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59% | 1.3% | 2026-09-19 22:54 |