Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sam Houston State Bearkats v Nicholls State Colonels

2026-09-19 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

90%

10%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sam Houston State Bearkats (Local)

Prediction 89.80%1.11fair odd

EV -2.12%

Edge -1.95%

Kelly -23.57%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

85.94%89.80%90.06%92.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.041.071.081.0996.15%93.33%92.59%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nicholls State Colonels (Visit)

Prediction 10.20%9.80fair odd

EV +22.43%

Edge +1.87%

Kelly +2.04%

Growth +0.458%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

7.98%10.20%9.94%14.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.608.378.0012.0015.15%11.95%12.50%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sam Houston State Bearkats (Local): 89.80%; Nicholls State Colonels (Visit): 10.20%. For Nicholls State Colonels (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.80. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 12.00, producing a positive expected value of +22.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.61%E -6.36%K -165.27%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +22.43%E +1.87%K +2.04%G +0.458%	4.5%	2026-09-14 13:25
FanDuel🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.81%E -4.54%K -80.25%G +0.000%	9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -2.05%E -0.214%K -0.239%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-14 06:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.12%E -1.95%K -23.57%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -18.38%E -2.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-14 09:00
SportsBet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.81%E -4.54%K -80.25%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.38%E -2.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-14 06:30
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.12%E -1.95%K -23.57%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -23.48%E -3.13%K -3.61%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-14 07:10
ReBet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.47%EV -3.02%E -2.80%K -37.74%G +0.000%	6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%EV -29.60%E -4.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-14 07:09
LeoVegas🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 85.94%EV -3.02%E -2.80%K -37.74%G +0.000%	6.60I 15.15%NM 14.06%EV -32.66%E -4.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-09-14 07:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%	1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%	100.0%	2026-09-14 08:05