Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento State Hornets v UMass Minutemen

2026-09-26 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

33%

67%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento State Hornets (Local)

Prediction 32.57%3.07fair odd

EV -3.93%

Edge -1.33%

Kelly -2.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.17%32.57%32.49%33.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.842.892.902.9535.21%34.60%34.48%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UMass Minutemen (Visit)

Prediction 67.43%1.48fair odd

EV -3.57%

Edge -2.50%

Kelly -8.30%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

66.90%67.43%67.51%67.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.401.401.4373.53%71.57%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sacramento State Hornets (Local): 32.57%; UMass Minutemen (Visit): 67.43%. For UMass Minutemen (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.48. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.43, with an expected value of -3.57%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-20 11:14
Coolbet🎯	2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.58%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-20 11:24
ReBet🎯	2.91I 34.36%NM 32.17%EV -5.23%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.83%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-20 11:15
FanDuel🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-20 11:14
Betr (AU)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.19%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-20 11:19
LeoVegas🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.19%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.03%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-09-20 11:15
SportsBet🎯	2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -7.51%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.07%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-20 11:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.09I 91.74%NM 47.85%	1.00I 100.00%NM 52.15%	91.7%	2026-09-20 11:19