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Sacramento State Hornets v UMass Minutemen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sacramento State Hornets (Local)
Prediction 34.62%2.89fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.463%
Kelly -0.713%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%34.73%34.58%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.752.752.8538.17%36.37%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UMass Minutemen (Visit)
Prediction 65.38%1.53fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -6.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.16%65.27%65.42%66.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.4871.43%68.98%68.97%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento State Hornets (Local): 34.62%; UMass Minutemen (Visit): 65.38%. For Sacramento State Hornets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -1.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.32%E -0.463%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 00:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.32%E -0.463%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.32%E -0.463%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.32%E -0.463%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.32%E -0.463%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.32%E -0.463%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.17%E -5.05%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.32%E -0.463%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.17%E -5.05%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.01%E -0.711%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-27 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-27 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-27 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-27 00:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.55%E -3.12%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 00:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 00:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 00:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.74%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 00:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -4.44%E -1.61%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 00:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 00:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 00:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 00:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.55%E -3.12%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 00:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.55%E -3.12%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.55%E -3.12%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 00:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 00:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 00:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 00:23 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-25 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.55%E -3.12%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-27 00:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -8.59%E -3.25%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.39%EV -4.55%E -3.12%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.28%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-27 00:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.28%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-27 00:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.28%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-27 00:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.28%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-27 00:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-27 00:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-27 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 00:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 1.8% | 2026-09-27 00:55 |