Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rutgers Scarlet Knights v UMass Minutemen

2026-09-03 22:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

95%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Local)

Prediction 95.26%1.05fair odd

EV -3.79%

Edge -3.75%

Kelly -379.14%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

91.23%95.20%95.19%97.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.17%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UMass Minutemen (Visit)

Prediction 4.74%21.08fair odd

EV +61.30%

Edge +1.80%

Kelly +1.86%

Growth +1.14%

assuming max odds 34.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

2.86%4.80%4.81%8.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

10.5020.8118.2534.009.52%4.80%5.48%2.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Local): 95.26%; UMass Minutemen (Visit): 4.74%. For UMass Minutemen (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 21.08. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 34.00, producing a positive expected value of +61.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
SportsBet🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%	34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +61.30%E +1.80%K +1.86%G +1.14%	2.9%	2026-08-14 06:59
DraftKings🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -379.14%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +47.06%E +1.52%K +1.57%G +0.738%	2.2%	2026-07-24 21:59
Fanatics🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -379.14%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +47.06%E +1.52%K +1.57%G +0.738%	2.2%	2026-07-27 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -379.14%G +0.000%	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +23.34%E +0.898%K +0.934%G +0.218%	2.9%	2026-06-09 06:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.88%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -379.14%G +0.000%	23.50I 4.26%NM 4.12%EV +11.48%E +0.489%K +0.510%G +0.059%	3.3%	2026-08-07 16:25
Caesars🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -379.14%G +0.000%	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -5.12%E -0.256%K -0.269%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-26 19:59
Coolbet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -379.14%G +0.000%	16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -21.72%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-24 02:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -28.84%E -1.92%K -2.06%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-09 06:19
Betr (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -379.14%G +0.000%	14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -32.40%E -2.27%K -2.45%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-14 09:59
NordicBet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -379.14%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -33.58%E -2.40%K -2.58%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-14 06:58
Betsson🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -379.14%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -33.58%E -2.40%K -2.58%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-14 06:59
LeoVegas🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -379.14%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -50.19%E -4.78%K -5.28%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-16 14:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 89.69%	8.70I 11.49%NM 10.31%	11.5%	2026-08-14 22:34

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