The School of Odds

Rutgers Scarlet Knights v UMass Minutemen

2026-09-03 22:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Local)

Prediction 95.63%1.05fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -3.38%
Kelly -341.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.23%95.52%95.73%96.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.13%99.01%99.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

UMass Minutemen (Visit)

Prediction 4.37%22.90fair odd
EV +35.39%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.418%

assuming max odds 31.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.16%4.48%4.27%8.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
10.5020.5318.2531.009.52%4.87%5.48%3.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -3.41%E -3.38%K -341.12%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +35.39%E +1.14%K +1.18%G +0.418%2.2%2026-07-24 21:59
Fanatics1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -3.41%E -3.38%K -341.12%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +35.39%E +1.14%K +1.18%G +0.418%2.2%2026-07-27 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.41%E -3.38%K -341.12%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +13.55%E +0.521%K +0.542%G +0.073%2.9%2026-06-09 06:19
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -3.41%E -3.38%K -341.12%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -12.65%E -0.633%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 19:59
Coolbet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -3.41%E -3.38%K -341.12%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -27.94%E -1.69%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 02:10
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -4.37%E -4.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -34.49%E -2.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 06:19
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.41%E -3.38%K -341.12%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -37.76%E -2.65%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 09:59
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -3.41%E -3.38%K -341.12%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -54.14%E -5.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-16 14:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.