Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rice Owls v Western Michigan Broncos

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 23:02 UTC

Final: Rice Owls 21–28 Western Michigan Broncos

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rice Owls (Local)

Prediction 25.32%3.95fair odd
EV +3.81%
Edge +0.929%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%25.30%25.34%28.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.323.813.784.1030.12%26.25%26.46%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Michigan Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 74.68%1.34fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -6.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.71%74.70%74.66%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.271.271.3181.30%78.90%78.74%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rice Owls (Local): 25.32%; Western Michigan Broncos (Visit): 74.68%. For Rice Owls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +3.81%E +0.929%K +1.23%G +0.047%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.40%E -5.96%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +3.81%E +0.929%K +1.23%G +0.047%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.40%E -5.96%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +3.81%E +0.929%K +1.23%G +0.047%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.40%E -5.96%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +3.81%E +0.929%K +1.23%G +0.047%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.40%E -5.96%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 22:54
Bally Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +3.81%E +0.929%K +1.23%G +0.047%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.40%E -5.96%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 22:54
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +3.81%E +0.929%K +1.23%G +0.047%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.40%E -5.96%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 22:54
Pinnacle🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.28%E +0.319%K +0.425%G +0.005%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 22:34
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.28%E +0.319%K +0.425%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 21:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.28%E +0.319%K +0.425%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.28%E +0.319%K +0.425%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 22:44
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.28%E +0.319%K +0.425%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +1.28%E +0.319%K +0.425%G +0.005%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -8.14%E -6.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 22:54
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +1.28%E +0.319%K +0.425%G +0.005%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -8.14%E -6.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 22:54
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.26%E -0.322%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.90%E -4.68%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 21:14
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.79%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.66%E -2.84%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 22:54
GTbets🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.79%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.66%E -2.84%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 22:49
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.79%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.41%E -3.44%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 22:49
Bet Right🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.79%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.79%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.79%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 20:39
LowVig.ag🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -3.66%E -2.84%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 22:44
BetUS🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -3.66%E -2.84%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 22:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -3.66%E -2.84%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 22:44
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.66%E -2.84%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 22:44
Everygame🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.66%E -2.84%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.41%E -3.44%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Fliff🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 22:54
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.90%E -4.68%K -22.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 21:14
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.66%E -2.84%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 16:55
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.66%E -2.84%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 16:54
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.44%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 22:54
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 16:55
NordicBet🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -7.08%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -5.90%E -4.68%K -22.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 22:54
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.41%E -3.44%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.41%E -3.44%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 21:05
Dabble (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.41%E -3.44%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:01
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.41%E -3.44%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 22:49
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 22:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.29%EV -15.94%E -4.80%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.71%EV -2.17%E -1.65%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 22:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎4.17I 23.98%NM 24.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.96%-0.3%2026-09-17 09:06
ProphetX◎4.05I 24.69%NM 24.58%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.42%0.4%2026-09-19 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-09-19 22:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-09-19 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-09-19 22:55
Matchbook◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-09-19 22:49