Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Purdue Boilermakers v Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 16:00 UTC

Final: Purdue Boilermakers 36–38 Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Purdue Boilermakers (Local)

Prediction 43.69%2.29fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.560%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.35%43.72%43.73%45.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.172.172.2648.54%46.03%46.08%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit)

Prediction 56.31%1.78fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.35%56.28%56.27%57.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.701.7461.73%59.09%58.82%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Purdue Boilermakers (Local): 43.69%; Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit): 56.31%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.26, with an expected value of -1.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -1.27%E -0.560%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -6.52%E -3.93%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 14:20
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.70%E -0.757%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 15:41
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -3.45%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -2.58%E -1.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-12 15:30
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 15:25
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 15:39
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 15:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 15:30
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 15:10
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 15:45
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 15:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 15:30
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 15:14
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 15:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 15:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 15:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:15
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.77%E -5.42%K -14.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:45
ReBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.32%E -1.97%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.76%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 15:45
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.76%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 15:35
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.20%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 15:45
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.20%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.20%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.20%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.20%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.20%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Bally Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.20%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.20%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.20%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 15:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 15:45
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 15:34
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 15:15
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 15:15
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 15:35
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 15:35
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 15:51
Betsson🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -6.51%E -3.04%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 15:45
NordicBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -6.51%E -3.04%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 15:45
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.26%E -3.93%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 15:30
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.26%E -3.93%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -10.00%E -4.86%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -2.58%E -1.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-09-12 15:55
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-09-12 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-09-12 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-09-12 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-09-12 15:50
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-09-12 15:45
BetOpenly2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%3.3%2026-09-12 15:45