Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Purdue Boilermakers v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

2026-09-26 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Purdue Boilermakers (Local)

Prediction 6.29%15.91fair odd
EV +32.01%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.512%

assuming max odds 21.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.63%6.47%5.99%9.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0013.7713.5021.0010.00%7.26%7.41%4.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 93.71%1.07fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -4.33%
Kelly -220.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.74%93.53%94.01%95.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0299.01%98.16%98.04%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Purdue Boilermakers (Local): 6.29%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 93.71%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.91. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 21.00, producing a positive expected value of +32.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +32.01%E +1.52%K +1.60%G +0.512%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.59%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-20 06:55
FanDuel🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +6.86%E +0.404%K +0.429%G +0.029%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 06:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +6.86%E +0.404%K +0.429%G +0.029%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 07:05
theScore Bet🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +0.577%E +0.036%K +0.038%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 10:49
Coolbet🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -8.85%E -0.611%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 07:08
Betr (AU)🎯14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -10.42%E -0.731%K -0.787%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -534.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 06:57
Bet Right🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -12.00%E -0.857%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 07:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -12.00%E -0.857%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 08:10
William Hill🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -18.28%E -1.41%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 06:54
SportsBet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -18.28%E -1.41%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -534.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 06:39
Unibet (UK)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -21.42%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 06:54
MyBookie.ag🎯12.25I 8.16%NM 7.69%EV -23.00%E -1.88%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.31%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 07:09
ReBet🎯11.25I 8.89%NM 8.31%EV -29.28%E -2.60%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.69%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 06:54
LeoVegas🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -34.00%E -3.24%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 06:54
betano_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -37.14%E -3.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 07:10
Bet Victor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -37.14%E -3.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 07:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-09-20 06:39
Novig18.18I 5.50%NM 5.36%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.64%2.6%2026-09-20 12:29