Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Purdue Boilermakers v Maryland Terrapins

2026-11-07 17:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

67%

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Purdue Boilermakers (Local)

Prediction 66.85%1.50fair odd

EV -3.74%

Edge -2.60%

Kelly -8.50%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

66.27%66.85%66.67%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.351.391.391.4474.07%71.71%71.94%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maryland Terrapins (Visit)

Prediction 33.15%3.02fair odd

EV -3.86%

Edge -1.33%

Kelly -2.03%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.56%33.15%33.33%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.702.812.842.9037.04%35.60%35.21%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Purdue Boilermakers (Local): 66.85%; Maryland Terrapins (Visit): 33.15%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.50. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.44, with an expected value of -3.74%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.52%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-01 06:05
Fanatics🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.51%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-01 06:58
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.03%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.86%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-01 06:10
William Hill🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.41%E -4.58%K -16.03%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-01 06:15
ReBet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 67.29%EV -7.08%E -5.10%K -18.16%G +0.000%	2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -5.18%E -1.81%K -2.79%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-01 06:14
SportsBet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -7.08%E -5.10%K -18.16%G +0.000%	2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -5.85%E -2.06%K -3.18%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-01 06:05
LeoVegas🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.75%E -5.62%K -20.40%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-11-01 06:15
Paddy Power🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -9.09%E -6.68%K -25.24%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-11-01 06:05
picklebet_au🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.87%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -10.49%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-11-01 06:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%	3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%	2.9%	2026-11-01 07:00
Polymarket◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%	5.9%	2026-11-01 07:00
Novig◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-11-01 06:10