The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Purdue Boilermakers v Indiana State Sycamores

Kickoff: 2026-09-04 23:00 UTC

Final: Purdue Boilermakers 44–19 Indiana State Sycamores

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Purdue Boilermakers (Local)

Prediction 96.97%1.03fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -206.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.31%96.03%96.97%97.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.67%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana State Sycamores (Visit)

Prediction 3.03%32.96fair odd
EV +39.57%
Edge +0.860%
Kelly +0.879%
Growth +0.348%

assuming max odds 46.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.13%3.97%3.03%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0023.1416.0046.008.33%4.32%6.25%2.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Purdue Boilermakers (Local): 96.97%; Indiana State Sycamores (Visit): 3.03%. For Indiana State Sycamores (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 32.96. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 46.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +39.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -3.03%E -3.03%K +0.000%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +39.57%E +0.860%K +0.879%G +0.348%2.2%2026-08-15 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -3.03%E -3.03%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +9.23%E +0.256%K +0.264%G +0.024%2.8%2026-07-24 07:10
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -2.06%E -2.04%K -206.45%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV -12.01%E -0.414%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-30 11:05
William Hill🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -3.03%E -3.03%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV -12.01%E -0.414%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 03:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.12%EV -3.03%E -3.03%K +0.000%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV -51.45%E -3.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 15:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -2.06%E -2.04%K -206.45%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -56.76%E -3.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 07:10
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -2.06%E -2.04%K -206.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -57.52%E -4.11%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -3.03%E -3.03%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -63.59%E -5.30%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 01:20
betano_uk🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -3.03%E -3.03%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -63.59%E -5.30%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 01:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%2.0%2026-09-04 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.06%2.1%2026-09-03 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.06%2.1%2026-09-03 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.06%2.1%2026-09-03 10:40