Purdue Boilermakers v Indiana State Sycamores

2026-09-04 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

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Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

97%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Purdue Boilermakers (Local)

Prediction 96.78%1.03fair odd

EV -2.25%

Edge -2.23%

Kelly -225.32%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

90.83%96.78%96.78%97.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.001.001.001.01100%100%100%99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Indiana State Sycamores (Visit)

Prediction 3.22%31.05fair odd

EV +15.96%

Edge +0.443%

Kelly +0.456%

Growth +0.073%

assuming max odds 36.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

2.70%3.22%3.22%9.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

10.0021.8120.6336.0010%5%5%3%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -3.22%E -3.22%K +0.000%G +0.000%	36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +15.96%E +0.443%K +0.456%G +0.073%	2.8%	2026-07-24 07:10
Unibet (UK)	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -2.25%E -2.23%K -225.32%G +0.000%	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV -16.25%E -0.625%K -0.650%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-07-24 07:10
MyBookie.ag	1.00I 100.00%NM 93.85%EV -3.22%E -3.22%K +0.000%G +0.000%	15.25I 6.56%NM 6.15%EV -50.88%E -3.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-24 07:20
LeoVegas	1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -2.25%E -2.23%K -225.32%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -67.79%E -6.78%K -7.53%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-24 07:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.