Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Panthers v Miami (OH) RedHawks

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 16:00 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Panthers 59–14 Miami (OH) RedHawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Panthers (Local)

Prediction 85.40%1.17fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -18.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.45%85.59%85.36%87.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.16%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami (OH) RedHawks (Visit)

Prediction 14.60%6.85fair odd
EV +9.49%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.139%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.59%14.41%14.64%16.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.696.507.5017.39%14.94%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Panthers (Local): 85.40%; Miami (OH) RedHawks (Visit): 14.60%. For Miami (OH) RedHawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.85. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +9.49%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.139%5.1%2026-09-01 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +9.49%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.139%5.1%2026-09-01 13:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +9.49%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.139%5.1%2026-09-01 13:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +9.49%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.139%5.1%2026-09-01 13:39
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +9.49%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.139%5.1%2026-09-01 13:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +9.49%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.139%5.1%2026-09-01 13:39
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +9.49%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.139%5.1%2026-09-01 13:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.77%E -7.19%K -97.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +9.49%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.139%5.9%2026-09-01 13:39
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.77%E -7.19%K -97.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +9.49%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.139%5.9%2026-09-01 13:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.19%E +0.314%K +0.366%G +0.008%4.4%2026-09-01 11:54
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.19%E +0.314%K +0.366%G +0.008%4.4%2026-08-31 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.19%E +0.314%K +0.366%G +0.008%5.2%2026-09-03 16:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.32%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +0.735%E +0.106%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.6%2026-09-03 15:59
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.59%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV +0.735%E +0.106%K +0.125%G +0.001%5.4%2026-09-03 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -3.50%E -3.09%K -26.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV -1.46%E -0.216%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-04 13:45
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.46%E -0.216%K -0.253%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 15:58
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.46%E -0.216%K -0.253%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 12:35
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.70%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.32%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.30%EV -2.92%E -0.438%K -0.516%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -3.50%E -0.529%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -3.50%E -0.529%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 15:59
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.65%E -0.552%K -0.651%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 12:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.83%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.81%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV -3.65%E -0.552%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 06:15
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.10%E -0.785%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 04:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.10%E -0.785%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 03:05
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.10%E -0.785%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 16:55
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.10%E -0.785%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 20:28
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.10%E -0.785%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:18
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.10%E -0.785%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 16:00
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.10%E -0.785%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:59
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.10%E -0.785%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 16:00
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.10%E -0.785%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 22:23
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.10%E -0.785%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 22:24
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.10%E -0.785%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-21 15:19
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.01%EV -3.50%E -3.09%K -26.90%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.99%EV -6.42%E -1.00%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.56%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 03:24
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.00%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.32%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.00%EV -8.17%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 01:10
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.00%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.32%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.00%EV -8.17%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 05:25
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.75%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 06:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.75%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 05:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -9.48%E -1.53%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:44
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.26%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -9.48%E -1.53%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:44
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -10.94%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 00:15
betano_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -12.40%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 01:23
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.32%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -13.86%E -2.35%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 04:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.64%E -2.32%K -18.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -16.05%E -2.79%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 06:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.12I 89.29%NM 88.95%9.02I 11.09%NM 11.05%0.4%2026-09-02 12:29
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 86.57%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.43%0.5%2026-09-04 10:25
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-09-03 20:55
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29%1.4%2026-09-04 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-09-04 07:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-09-04 07:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-09-04 07:45
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-09-04 10:50