Language:English
Penn State Nittany Lions v Wisconsin Badgers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Penn State Nittany Lions (Local)
Prediction 76.27%1.31fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -5.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.84%75.97%76.26%77.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.241.251.2982.64%80.47%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wisconsin Badgers (Visit)
Prediction 23.73%4.21fair odd
EV -0.332%
Edge -0.079%
Kelly -0.104%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.37%24.03%23.74%27.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.464.004.004.2028.90%24.97%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Penn State Nittany Lions (Local): 76.27%; Wisconsin Badgers (Visit): 23.73%. For Wisconsin Badgers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -0.332%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -1.61%E -1.25%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -17.89%E -5.17%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 20:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.38%E -1.86%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.01%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-26 21:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.75%EV -3.90%E -3.10%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.25%EV -1.28%E -0.308%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-26 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.90%E -3.10%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 17:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.90%E -3.10%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-21 16:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.90%E -3.10%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 21:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.90%E -3.10%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.45%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.332%E -0.079%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-26 20:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.332%E -0.079%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-26 20:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -1.28%E -0.308%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-26 20:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -1.28%E -0.308%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-26 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.70%E -0.660%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.70%E -0.660%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 20:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 20:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 21:03 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 20:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.45%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.45%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 21:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.57%E -4.05%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 21:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.57%E -4.05%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.66%E -3.73%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.57%E -4.05%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.332%E -0.079%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.332%E -0.079%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.332%E -0.079%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-26 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.332%E -0.079%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.89%E -0.961%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 21:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 19:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.26%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-24 20:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.64%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 21:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.44%EV -6.19%E -5.03%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.56%EV -5.32%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.332%E -0.079%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.332%E -0.079%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.332%E -0.079%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -1.52%E -0.366%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 03:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 03:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 21:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.82%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-26 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.82%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-26 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -7.71%E -6.38%K -36.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -0.332%E -0.079%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -7.71%E -6.38%K -36.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -0.332%E -0.079%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 20:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-09-26 21:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.37% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.63% | 1.5% | 2026-09-26 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-09-26 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-09-26 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-09-26 21:05 |