Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Penn State Nittany Lions v USC Trojans

Início: 2026-10-10 23:32 UTC

Final: Penn State Nittany Lions 23–31 USC Trojans

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

50%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Penn State Nittany Lions (Local)

Previsão 49.50%2.02odd justa

EV -0.993%

Vantagem -0.497%

Kelly -0.993%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

47.78%49.66%49.33%51.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.831.911.902.0054.64%52.43%52.63%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

USC Trojans (Visitante)

Previsão 50.50%1.98odd justa

EV -1.53%

Vantagem -0.786%

Kelly -1.61%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

48.95%50.34%50.67%52.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.801.891.881.9555.56%53.01%53.19%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Penn State Nittany Lions (Local): 49.50%; USC Trojans (Visitante): 50.50%. Para Penn State Nittany Lions (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.02. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.00, com valor esperado de -0.993%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local ▼	Visitante	Margem	Atualização
Everygame🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.993%E -0.497%K -0.993%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.59%E -4.15%K -9.15%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-10 19:44
DraftKings🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 18:55
Coolbet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 23:10
betfred_uk🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 19:50
BetMGM🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 19:00
BetUS🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.58%E -3.56%K -7.74%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-10 19:00
Coral🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.58%E -3.56%K -7.74%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-10 19:00
Caesars🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.96%E -2.04%K -4.22%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.56%E -2.41%K -5.13%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-10 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.96%E -2.04%K -4.22%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.07%E -2.69%K -5.76%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-10 23:31
FanDuel🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.96%E -2.04%K -4.22%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.07%E -2.69%K -5.76%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-10 23:30
Neds🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.96%E -2.04%K -4.22%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-10 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.96%E -2.04%K -4.22%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-10 18:59
Pinnacle🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -4.46%E -2.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -1.53%E -0.786%K -1.61%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-10-10 23:31
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.46%E -2.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.07%E -2.69%K -5.76%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-10 23:15
Betsson🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.46%E -2.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-10 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.95%E -2.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.58%E -3.56%K -7.74%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-10 23:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-10 20:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-10 18:55
Fliff🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-10 21:15
NordicBet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.58%E -3.56%K -7.74%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-10 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.59%E -4.15%K -9.15%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-10 23:30
PlayUp🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.13%K -6.60%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.06%E -2.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-10 23:30
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.13%K -6.60%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.06%E -2.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-10 23:29
TAB🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.13%K -6.60%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.06%E -2.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-10 23:30
betano_uk🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.94%E -3.13%K -6.60%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.58%E -3.56%K -7.74%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-10 23:20
Bet Victor🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.94%E -3.13%K -6.60%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.58%E -3.56%K -7.74%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-10 23:18
ATG (SE)🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.44%E -3.41%K -7.23%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-10 20:20
Svenska Spel🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.44%E -3.41%K -7.23%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-10 20:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.44%E -3.41%K -7.23%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-10 20:19
betPARX🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.44%E -3.41%K -7.23%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-10 20:20
SportsBet🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -6.44%E -3.41%K -7.23%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -7.09%E -3.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-10-10 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.93%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.55%E -1.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-10 20:20
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.93%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.55%E -1.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-10 20:20
BetRivers🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.93%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.55%E -1.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-10 20:20
Unibet🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.93%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.06%E -2.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-10 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.93%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.56%E -2.41%K -5.13%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-10 20:20
Fanatics🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.43%E -3.97%K -8.54%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.53%E -0.786%K -1.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 23:31
GTbets🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.43%E -3.97%K -8.54%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.53%E -0.786%K -1.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 23:31
Bovada🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.43%E -3.97%K -8.54%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.53%E -0.786%K -1.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 23:24
LowVig.ag🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.43%E -3.97%K -8.54%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.53%E -0.786%K -1.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.43%E -3.97%K -8.54%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.53%E -0.786%K -1.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 23:31
Bet Right🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.43%E -3.97%K -8.54%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.06%E -2.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-10 22:55
Betway🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -3.97%K -8.54%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-10 23:30
LeoVegas🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.90%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.59%E -4.15%K -9.15%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-10-10 23:15
Paddy Power🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.41%E -5.14%K -11.34%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -9.11%E -5.06%K -11.38%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-10-10 23:15

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
Matchbook◎	1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%	0.3%	2026-10-10 23:29
Novig◎	1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%	0.5%	2026-10-10 23:25
ProphetX◎	1.95I 51.28%NM 51.01%	2.03I 49.26%NM 48.99%	0.5%	2026-10-10 23:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%	2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%	0.8%	2026-10-10 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%	2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%	0.8%	2026-10-10 23:31
Polymarket◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%	1.0%	2026-10-10 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%	1.3%	2026-10-10 23:31
Kalshi◎	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%	2.0%	2026-10-10 20:15
BetOpenly◎	1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%	1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%	2.3%	2026-10-10 23:29