The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Penn State Nittany Lions v Purdue Boilermakers

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 20:16 UTC

Final: Penn State Nittany Lions 31–17 Purdue Boilermakers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Penn State Nittany Lions (Local)

Prediction 75.84%1.32fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -10.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.23%75.86%75.82%77.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.251.251.2885.47%80.32%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Purdue Boilermakers (Visit)

Prediction 24.16%4.14fair odd
EV +3.89%
Edge +0.905%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.046%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.02%24.14%24.18%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.994.004.3027.78%25.06%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Penn State Nittany Lions (Local): 75.84%; Purdue Boilermakers (Visit): 24.16%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +3.89%E +0.905%K +1.18%G +0.046%3.9%2026-10-31 19:22
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +2.68%E +0.631%K +0.826%G +0.022%4.2%2026-10-31 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.99%E -7.49%K -44.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +2.68%E +0.631%K +0.826%G +0.022%6.9%2026-10-31 20:00
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +1.48%E +0.351%K +0.461%G +0.007%3.8%2026-10-30 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +1.48%E +0.351%K +0.461%G +0.007%5.1%2026-10-31 19:55
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +1.48%E +0.351%K +0.461%G +0.007%5.1%2026-10-31 19:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +1.48%E +0.351%K +0.461%G +0.007%5.1%2026-10-31 19:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +1.48%E +0.351%K +0.461%G +0.007%5.1%2026-10-31 19:55
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +1.48%E +0.351%K +0.461%G +0.007%5.1%2026-10-31 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +1.48%E +0.351%K +0.461%G +0.007%5.1%2026-10-31 19:55
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +1.48%E +0.351%K +0.461%G +0.007%5.1%2026-10-31 19:55
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.48%E +0.351%K +0.461%G +0.007%5.8%2026-10-31 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.48%E +0.351%K +0.461%G +0.007%5.8%2026-10-31 19:55
Everygame🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV +0.267%E +0.064%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-30 00:12
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.941%E -0.229%K -0.304%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-31 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -0.941%E -0.229%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 20:15
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.941%E -0.229%K -0.304%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-30 21:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.65%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.35%EV -1.67%E -0.409%K -0.543%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 14:34
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -2.93%E -2.29%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV -1.91%E -0.470%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-31 20:15
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.36%E -0.839%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-31 18:25
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.36%E -0.839%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 19:35
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.839%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.839%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 18:00
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.36%E -0.839%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 20:15
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.36%E -0.839%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 20:05
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -11.27%E -9.63%K -66.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -3.36%E -0.839%K -1.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -3.60%E -0.902%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-31 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -3.60%E -0.902%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-31 18:25
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-29 23:45
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-29 23:42
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 19:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 12:55
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.77%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 18:25
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.77%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 19:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 20:00
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 20:00
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -8.67%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 19:30
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 20:00
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 20:15
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 20:00
picklebet_au🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 20:15
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 20:03
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 20:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-10-30 00:00
ProphetX◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.80%4.45I 22.47%NM 22.20%1.2%2026-10-31 20:15
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24%1.3%2026-10-31 20:15
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-10-31 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-10-31 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-10-31 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-10-31 20:15
Matchbook◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-10-31 20:14
BetOpenly◎1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%3.4%2026-10-31 20:00