Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.17
assuming max odds 6.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon State Beavers (Local): 84.12%; San Diego State Aztecs (Visit): 15.88%. For San Diego State Aztecs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.30. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.25%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.25%E +0.499%K +0.590%G +0.019% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 18:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.25%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.66%E +0.259%K +0.307%G +0.005% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV +0.705%E +0.111%K +0.132%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV +0.705%E +0.111%K +0.132%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 21:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV +0.069%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.25%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -0.725%E -0.116%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 21:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.25%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -0.725%E -0.116%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -1.52%E -0.245%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 21:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.11%E -0.509%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.11%E -0.509%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.11%E -0.509%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.11%E -0.509%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 22:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.25%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -3.11%E -0.509%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 22:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.25%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -3.11%E -0.509%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.63%E -5.97%K -60.28%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -3.11%E -0.509%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.63%E -5.97%K -60.28%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -3.11%E -0.509%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.11%E -3.60%K -29.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.70%E -0.783%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.11%E -3.60%K -29.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.70%E -0.783%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 21:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.11%E -3.60%K -29.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.70%E -0.783%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 21:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.70%E -0.783%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 21:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.70%E -0.783%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 22:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.70%E -0.783%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.70%E -0.783%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 19:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.70%E -0.783%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.25%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -5.33%E -0.895%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 20:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.27%E -2.84%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.27%E -2.84%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -8.67%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.11%E -3.60%K -29.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.67%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 21:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.11%E -3.60%K -29.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.67%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 21:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.07%EV -2.43%E -2.09%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.69I 17.57%NM 16.93%EV -9.62%E -1.69%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -7.47%E -6.79%K -74.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -11.05%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.27%E -2.84%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -12.64%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 21:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.64%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -7.47%E -6.79%K -74.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -12.64%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.27%E -2.84%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -14.23%E -2.63%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.27%E -2.84%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -14.23%E -2.63%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 21:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.11%E -3.60%K -29.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -14.23%E -2.63%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 22:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.11%E -3.60%K -29.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -14.23%E -2.63%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 22:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.43%E -2.09%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -16.61%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 21:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.27%E -2.84%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -16.61%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 21:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -2.43%E -2.09%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -20.58%E -4.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -2.43%E -2.09%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -20.58%E -4.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -1.58%E -1.35%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -24.55%E -5.17%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.66% | 6.51I 15.36%NM 15.34% | 0.1% | 2026-10-10 21:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 21:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.65% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.35% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 2.1% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65% | 2.2% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |