Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon State Beavers v Montana Grizzlies

2026-09-20 03:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon State Beavers (Local)

Prediction 75.13%1.33fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -13.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.38%75.13%75.00%75.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.261.251.2880.65%79.55%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montana Grizzlies (Visit)

Prediction 24.87%4.02fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -0.769%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.42%24.87%25.00%25.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.743.753.9027.78%26.72%26.67%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Oregon State Beavers (Local): 75.13%; Montana Grizzlies (Visit): 24.87%. For Montana Grizzlies (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.90, with an expected value of -3.00%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.84%E -3.00%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.49%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 06:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.59%E -3.61%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.73%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 09:00
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.34%E -4.24%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.00%E -0.769%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 13:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.09%E -4.87%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.73%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 07:10
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.09%E -4.87%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.97%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 06:44
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.09%E -4.87%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.97%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 07:09
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.84%E -5.52%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 07:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%100.0%2026-09-14 08:05