Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks v UCLA Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC

Final: Oregon Ducks 15–17 UCLA Bruins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks (Local)

Prediction 76.51%1.31fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -4.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.77%76.35%76.49%77.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.241.2983.33%80.22%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCLA Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 23.49%4.26fair odd
EV +1.70%
Edge +0.393%
Kelly +0.510%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.24%23.65%23.51%26.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.004.104.3327.78%24.98%24.39%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon Ducks (Local): 76.51%; UCLA Bruins (Visit): 23.49%. For UCLA Bruins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV +1.70%E +0.393%K +0.510%G +0.009%3.7%2026-10-10 19:15
Caesars🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.89%E -4.79%K -25.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.995%E +0.231%K +0.302%G +0.003%4.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.179%E -0.042%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 14:01
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.179%E -0.042%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.35%E -0.322%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 14:00
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.35%E -0.322%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 19:15
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.35%E -0.322%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 19:20
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.35%E -0.322%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.35%E -0.322%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.35%E -0.322%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.35%E -0.322%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 18:55
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.89%E -4.79%K -25.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.35%E -0.322%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 19:23
Everygame🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -2.53%E -0.609%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:00
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.53%E -0.609%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 19:15
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -3.23%E -0.785%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-10 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.70%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-10 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.70%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-10 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.70%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 19:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.70%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.89%E -4.79%K -25.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.70%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.89%E -4.79%K -25.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.70%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.89%E -4.79%K -25.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.70%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.89%E -4.79%K -25.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.70%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 19:20
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.89%E -4.79%K -25.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.70%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 19:20
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 19:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 19:00
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 19:25
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 19:00
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 19:25
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 19:00
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 17:45
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.25%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -6.52%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.83%E -2.23%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -8.63%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.30%E -1.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-10 19:19
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.06%E -1.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.06%E -1.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 19:20
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.06%E -1.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 19:20
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 19:25
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.42%E -6.13%K -35.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 19:20
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.18%E -6.82%K -40.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.06%E -1.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -15.45%E -4.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 19:20
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.06%E -1.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -15.45%E -4.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 19:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.06%E -1.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -15.45%E -4.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 19:25
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.45%E -4.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 19:20
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.45%E -4.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 19:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-10-10 19:24
Polymarket◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-10-10 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-10-10 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-10-10 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-10-10 19:15
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-10-10 19:15
ProphetX◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.3%2026-10-10 19:05
BetOpenly◎1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%4.7%2026-10-10 19:20